5 MLB All-Star prop bets to play
If you weren't one of the fortunate bettors to cash in at 5/1 on Yoenis Cespedes to defend his home run title Monday night, you may be looking to rebound with a few All-Star Game prop bets.
Blake Murphy and Greg Warren reveal five prop bets likely to pay on Tuesday night:
OVER 19 players throw a pitch
Murphy: Last year, 18 players threw a pitch in a tight, 3-0 game that had a pitcher a side go two innings. The season prior, it was 20, in a lopsided 8-0 blowout. In 2011, it was 19 in a 5-1 game. That's three relatively low-scoring games that averaged 19 hurlers, so the bet here is on offense, neither side having a starter toss more than an inning, and Mike Matheny and John Farrell leveraging their ample bullpens to play the match-up game.
OVER 1.5 home runs
Murphy: This, of course, is a bet on fun. There have been just three All-Star Game home runs since 2008, pointing to the dominance of pitchers in short bursts, but it only takes one bad pitch (or for this bet, two), and with names like Mike Trout, Jose Bautista and Gincarlo Stanton due to start and big sticks in Todd Frazier and Jose Abreu available to pinch hit, it's worth betting on. Of course, someone with bankroll to spare could bet on the under and consider any homers hit a win-win.
YES Jeter gets a hit
Murphy: Are you serious? Even if it means Chase Utley and Troy Tulowitzki shifting out of the middle of the infield and Adam Wainwright serving up a softball, the hype around Derek Jeter's final All-Star appearance makes it feel inevitable that The Captain ropes a single. Mathematically, a +180 prop on a .272 hitter getting a hit in what will probably just be two plate appearances is a poor one, but this is about more than math. It's narrative, it's destiny, it's Jeter.
Jose Bautista will hit a home run
Warren: Did you see Jose Bautista in the Home Run Derby last night? He launched 10 home runs in the opening round and was then forced to sit and watch for two hours as he earned a bye to the American League final. Bautista loves hitting at Target Field and has belted 11 homers in 14 regular-season games at the venue. The +800 payout on this one is certainly worth the risk of a small bet.
Josh Donaldson to have more total bases than Carlos Gomez
Warren: Donaldson already got the monkey off his back by participating in the Home Run Derby on Monday night and nerves shouldn't be a factor for him. Donaldson is also batting eighth in the American League lineup while Gomez bats ninth, which means mathematically it's possible Donaldson gets an extra at-bat. You can also make the argument a substitute early in the game at third base is less likely than an outfield replacement.
If you prefer betting sides and totals, the American League is a -110 favorite and the total is set at 7.5. The game has played under the total in eight consecutive seasons.
All prop bets courtesy of the LVH SuperBook