NCAA Tournament Prospect Watch: Rozier and Winslow excel on Day 4

The NCAA tournament feels even more loaded with potential NBA prospects this year than it did in 2014, with one of the most heralded draft classes of all time. Maybe it's the battle to be No. 1 pick, or the constant shuffling of those in the lottery, or the fact that 33 of ESPN's top 40 prospects are all on teams that made the field. Maybe we just love this time of year regardless of prospect quality.

In any case, there are 74 prospects in the tournament ranked in the top 100 by either ESPN, DraftExpress or both. Each day of the tournament, we'll check in and see how said prospects performed, and at the end of each weekend we'll provide a Stock Watch, letting you know who's been trending in what direction.

Pre-Tourney Previews: EAST | WEST | SOUTH | MIDWEST | Kentucky
Day One review: Russell, Towns shine
Day Two review: Okafor holds serve, Kaminsky dominates
Day Three review: Hollis-Jefferson locks up Russell

Too many Urkels on your team

I'm going to go out on a bit of a limb here: Justise Winslow is the best small forward in the draft. I haven't seen anything of Mario Hezonja internationally and I'm a big Kevon Looney fan, but I'd have Winslow ahead of Looney and Stanley Johnson on my draft board were I in need of a wing on draft night. He's already slated as a lottery pick, and there's a good chance he ends up in the low single-digits in the draft.

Duke's defensive ace had another terrific game on Sunday, filling the stat sheet in a way that few can: 13 points on 6-of-10 shooting, 12 rebounds, five assists, four steals and three blocks. This follows a 6-11-7 line from the Round of 64, and he's 2-of-4 from long range -- where he hit 39.8 percent on the season -- for the tournament.

The biggest knock on Wisnlow is that he doesn't have a great offensive game of his own, but when you play defense like he does and contribute all around the court like he can, your floor as an NBA player is appreciable. 

He was already slated as a potential top-10 pick and his stock has surely been solidified this weekend. An incredible matchup with Utah's Delon Wright, one of the five best players in college this season, represents another great opportunity to make a claim for the top-five on Friday.

Terry Pro-zier

When one of your pro player comparisons is Kyle Lowry, the world expects you to play hard. That's exactly what Terry Rozier did for Louisville on Sunday, putting the Cardinals' offense on his back for stretches and helping lift them over Northern Iowa and into the Sweet Sixteen.

Rozier finished with 25 points on 8-of-13 shooting with five rebounds and seven assists, a remarkable output in a hard-fought victory.

A potential first-round pick who could slide to the early second round or even conceivably return for a junior season, the only knock against Rozier's tournament so far is a 2-of-7 mark from outside. Everything else has been clicking, and he's done well to allay concerns he can't distribute.

Trevor Lacey and Anthony Barber, strong tests on the defensive end, await in Syracuse.

And then, of course, there was teammate Montrezl Harrell, an almost certain first-round pick, throwing down his mandated two highlights per game.

Harrell finished with 14 points on 5-of-11 from the floor, pulled in six rebounds and blocked a pair of shots. They pretty much call that line the Montrezl Harrell, though it's a shade below his normal level of production.

Top Performances

• Jahlil Okafor is 6-foot-11 and 270 pounds. As such, he shouldn't be able to do things like in that GIF above. It's pretty unfair that he can make passes like this, too. He also dunks hard and scores in the post. It's not surprising, then, that he dominated San Diego State, finishing with 26 points on 12-of-16 shooting with six rebounds and three blocks. The likely - but not certain - No. 1 pick in the NBA Draft is shooting 21-of-27 in the tournament but runs into a pair of 7-footers on Utah in the Sweet Sixteen, a better test by which to evaluate him.
  • Tyus Jones quietly had six points and six assists, because quiet and efficient production is what Tyus Jones does. He could opt for a sophomore season but he's probably a late-first if not.
• Branden Dawson's draft stock has fluctuated plenty during his four-year Michigan State career, and it's firmly in the "up" position after a strong Big Ten tourney and a terrific Round of 32 game against Virginia. The brutish small forward scored 15 points, grabbed nine rebounds and blocked four shots, staying engaged on both ends bell-to-bell.
• Gonzaga's Domantas Sabonis had maybe his most impressive game as a freshman on Sunday, showing exactly why NBA scouts are said to be high on him despite somewhat muted statistical production. The savvy big man shot 6-of-10 for 18 points and added nine rebounds, firming up his case for the late first round.
• Buddy Hield had a great game for Oklahoma, scoring 15 points with three rebounds and five assists. The junior is considered safely in the second round if he declares, and it's easy to see how his athleticism translates to impact with plays like this.

• Fred VanVleet and Ron Baker mirrored their Round of 64 performances, with VanVleet (17-6-6) continuing to make noise as a potential second-rounder and Baker (12-3-2, 2-of-5 on threes) having a much more humble, but not at all damaging, performance.
• Frank Kaminsky had what feels like his quietest game in weeks in an uncomfortably close Wisconsin win over Oregon. The fact that 16 points, seven rebounds and two assists with 6-of-13 shooting constitutes muted production for him is exactly why he's in the discussion as a lottery pick. He'll have a big size advantage over North Carolina's frontcourt in the Sweet Sixteen.
  • Sam Dekker shone where Kaminsky was a little quieter, scoring 17 points with a 3-of-8 mark from outside and five rebounds. The junior's had a strong start to his tournament and now has a chance to prove himself worthy of a first-round pick against a handful of UNC prospects.
  • Nigel Hayes continued making his case for the second round, too, should he declare. Including the Big Ten finals against Michigan State, he now has 54 points, 18 rebounds and seven assists with a 5-of-11 mark from 3-point range against three tournament teams. And remember, he's hilarious, too.

• Juwan Staten scored six points with six assists in West Virginia's win. The senior needs a big Sweet Sixteen showing to push for inclusion in the second round.

See You Next Year ... or on Draft Night

• It's tough to know what to make of Justin Anderson at the end of three seasons. He struggled on Sunday, finishing with eight points and a single rebound while shooting 2-of-7 overall and 0-of-4 on threes. He's a high-end defender and a great athlete, but it's unclear what his offensive role would be in the NBA - conceivably, he's a 3-and-D guy, and he hit 47 percent from outside for the season. 
  
  But a broken finger in early February appeared to hurt his stroke, and he struggled in the four games he played after returning. His impact on Virginia is clear - they were fifth in adjusted offense before his injury and they now sit 27th. It's obvious he's a great and important college player, but whether he declares for the draft, and what he becomes afterward, is still murky.
  • Mike Tobey is probably heading back for a senior season. The 6-foot-11 forward was a non-factor for the third game in a row and totaled five points with six rebounds in 17 tournament minutes.
• Malik Pope's potential inclusion in the first round is based on potential, not production, but he looked solid in a small spurt Sunday. He finished with six points and two rebounds, hitting back-to-back threes that forced Duke to switch Winslow on him to cool him off. He could use a sophomore season because he's a while away, but there might be an NBA player here.
• Aaron White is mostly off the draft radar but ended his impressive senior season strong, scoring 19 points on 7-of-13 shooting with three steals.
• Kelly Oubre Jr. didn't have his flashiest outing in Kansas' elimination Sunday, scoring nine points on 3-of-9 shooting with five rebounds. He also fouled out in 23 minutes and missed on his three 3-point attempts. His season ended with four mediocre showings in a row and while none were damning, a lottery selection would mean an NBA team may be waiting a year or two for production.
  • Wayne Selden Jr. and Brannen Greene both limped out of their sophomore seasons, combining for zero points, one rebound and one assist in 43 minutes.

• Jake Layman quite literally went out with a bang for Maryland, though he was somewhat quiet with 10 points and three assists. He's probably in the second round if he declares but a senior season isn't out of the question.
  • Melo Trimble, meanwhile, saw his freshman season end with a head injury. He scored 15 points with seven rebounds with a 5-of-6 shooting mark before the injury, and while he's probably headed back to school, he improved his stock in the tourney.
  • Dez Wells limped out of his final college game in a more figurative sense, scoring nine points with five rebounds but committing eight turnovers.

Charles Barkley Category

We were pretty sure Kansas prospect Cliff Alexander was sidelined while the NCAA investigates his mother's ties to a financial institution, but according to Charles Barkley, Alexander played quite well Sunday. No clue how a vote of confidence from such a reliable, respected basketball mind like Barkley will alter Alexander's stock.