DFS: Numbers Game - A Look at the Key Stats from Week 1
With all but two games to play, Week 1 of the NFL season is almost in the books. Here are some of the numbers that made our eyes pop after an action-packed Sunday slate.
0: None of the Dolphins' players finished with over 15 points in PPR formats. This 'Phins team has enough weapons to win games but the question in daily fantasy is if any player will be prolific enough to warrant a look every week. Balanced attacks can bring a player's fantasy ceiling crashing down, even if you're a player as skilled as Jarvis Landry or Lamar Miller.
0 to 2 TD/INT: Joe Flacco's out-sized reputation as a Super Bowl-winning QB couldn't make up for his woes against the Broncos' defense in Week 1. Turnovers aren't impossible to overcome in DFS, but the gun-singling QB has to make up for his mistakes by producing touchdowns and yardage. Flacco tallied two interceptions but managed only 117 yards on 18 throws with no TDs, effectively killing his DFS value - as well as that of his receivers.
2: Touchdowns thrown to Raiders' fullback Marcel Reese from back-up quarterback Matt McGloin in their loss to the Bengals. Reese isn't a complete non-factor - he's averaged 62 pass targets per season from 2012 to 2014. That said, he almost never gets rushing touches, even in goal-line situations. This could have been his only DFS-relevant moment this season.
5: Five tight ends finished with at least two TDs in Week 1; sometimes the best red-zone option is a 6-foot-5, 260-pound pass-catching mountain. Rob Gronkowski led the pack with three TDs. but Tampa's Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Kansas City's Travis Kelce, Cincinnati's Tyler Eifert and Dallas' Jason Witten also had great games and figure to be a big part of their offenses. Of that quartet, Witten was the only player with less than 100 yards receiving.
5 out of 16: Speaking of Seferian-Jenkins, he was just about the only thing working for Tampa Bay's offense in their 42-14 drubbing at home to the Titans. The man known as Hercules caught five of rookie QB Jameis Winston's 16 completions and could emerge as a top-five fantasy TE if the Bucs lean on the budding Winston-to-Herc chemistry.
32: DeAngelo Williams looked youthful on his way to 127 yards rushing on 21 carries as Steelers' starter Le'Veon Bell fulfills his two-week suspension. At 32 years old, Williams is the second oldest back in the NFL this season but might provide a nice return on value for one more week before Bell's return.
29: The Seahawks' Fred Jackson - the oldest back in the NFL this season at age 34 - finished the game with a combined 29 yards from scrimmage. Pete Carroll told media last Monday that Jackson would "play a lot" but his limited usage in Week 1 torpedoed his DFS potential. He could still emerge as a value play in tournaments, especially if Marshawn Lynch begins to wear down.
51: Rookie RBs Melvin Gordon and T.J. Yeldon each finished with 51 yards rushing; their longest runs each went for 14 yards. The Lions' Ameer Abdullah finished a yard short of that duo with 50 yards. With the weakest passing game of the three teams, the Jaguars' Yeldon might be a value play against a Dolphins defense that allowed 121 yards rushing to Alfred Morris in Week 1.
15.8 FP: While Yeldon didn't wow in Week 1, a rookie WR buried on the Jags' depth chart did turn in a solid fantasy performance. Rashad Greene totaled only 28 yards receiving, but caught seven passes and one TD. A cause for optimism were his 13 targets on Sunday that could indicate a larger role in the offense for Greene than was expected.
98: The most yards receiving from a running back in Week 1, courtesy Saints starter Mark Ingram. Drew Brees might have found his short-yardage option in the wake of Jimmy Graham's departure. Ingram's 98 yards by air in Week 1 surpass his entire season totals from his first three years in the league; with a big Week 2, Ingram can also pass his total of 145 yards receiving from last season.
307: The second best fantasy performance by a QB after the Sunday slate wasn't from a former Super Bowl MVP. The last time he was a Pro Bowl player, George W. Bush was sitting in the Oval Office. His most memorable seasons came wearing tiger-print pants with a man legally named Ochocinco. Carson Palmer picked apart the Saints' defense, finishing with 307 yards passing and three TDs. When healthy, Palmer will form powerful tandems with with Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd; as a great QB with a sub-elite price, Palmer is a relative bargain in DFS.