DFS: Debate Team - Is Calvin or AP the Better Week 2 Play?
Each week, two of theScore's DFS experts weigh in on a contentious daily fantasy topic. This week: is Calvin Johnson or Adrian Peterson the better play in Week 2?
Ken Conrad: To be totally honest, I'm not sure either player will make my DFS lineup for this week, but if I had to choose between the two, I'm siding with Peterson.
The thinking is that both players had disappointing debuts - Johnson accumulated a mere two catches for 39 yards, while Peterson managed 52 all-purpose yards on 13 touches - and are due to rebound.
The Vikings have some injuries on the offensive line, and could only manage a field goal in the season opener against the Vikings, so Peterson isn't exactly in the drivers' seat of a high-octane offense. Johnson, however, is tied to the inconsistent Matthew Stafford at quarterback, and also has Golden Tate and Eric Ebron competing for targets.
The Lions also lost two significant run-stuffing cogs in the offseason in Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley, and San Diego's Danny Woodhead ran for two scores against them in the Week 1 opener.
Peterson is also a little cheaper than Johnson in most DFS games, and is playing at home for the first time in a year. Johnson may be a physical freak with a cool nickname, but I'd bank on Peterson outperforming him when the Lions and Vikings meet in Week 2.
Jason Wilson: The only thing holding me back from rostering Calvin Johnson is his price tag.
It's no mystery that the Lions' offense moves with Megatron. If they can't find a way to consistently get the ball into Johnson's hands, they're going to have a hard time winning.
Tate is a fine No. 2, but Johnson is a generational talent who can change the landscape of a game in a second. If he's truly healthy, he will give Stafford the opportunity to open it up.
The question becomes whether or not he converts. I think he does.He was a little shaky in Week 1 but finished with good numbers overall (even with the two INTs). Four targets is going to be a season low for Johnson. He'll be a massive part of the offense going forward.
I'm not high on Peterson at all. Yes, the Lions lost Suh and Fairley, but don't forget that the bulk of San Diego's march downfield was shouldered by Philip Rivers and the passing game. The carries were split between Woodhead and Melvin Gordon with Woodhead being the backup.
AP may have a bounce back week, but he's more of a question mark. Until he shows he's back, I'm avoiding him. The Vikings better hope I'm wrong, because that offense sputtered throughout Monday night's game against San Francisco.
Conrad: You're right about Johnson's total targets - four does seem low, especially in a game where the Lions were trailing late and had to throw to catch up. What worries me about Johnson is the constant niggling injuries (though, by all accounts, he's healthy this week) and that he may be a decoy for some of the Lions' other playmakers, namely Tate and Ameer Abdullah.
Tate had 99 catches last season and led the team with eight targets against San Diego - he's a viable 1A receiver in his own right. I feel like Johnson is at the point in his career where his reputation is starting to precede him - he's priced like an elite player, but the production just isn't there.
Peterson may well be on the downside of his career, too, but he's very much the focal point of Minnesota's offense, for better or worse. With the training wheels still very much on Teddy Bridgewater, I would expect to see Peterson shoulder a heavy workload this week.
I feel that the amount of touches between Johnson and Peterson is going to be consistently in Peterson's favour, and he only needs a TD and/or a few catches to complement his high floor of 60 yards or so.
Wilson: The biggest knock against Johnson is his health. It's been the focus of speculation throughout the preseason and Week 1 seemed to justify the concern. However, 2014 was considered an injury-riddled season and he still had five 100-yard receiving games and eight touchdown receptions.
He missed significant time but he finished the season on the field and had a couple of his strongest games late in the season. With the amount of rest he had in the offseason, Johnson should be primed to be a big factor.
I wouldn't be surprised if the real decoy was Week 1. The Lions need to make it seem like they value their other targets as much as Johnson, and the better and more varied they get will only help Johnson's value instead of hindering it. If Tate starts making big catches, defenses will be forced to limit their double coverage on Johnson, which will turn it all into a slaughter.
You are right about Bridgewater, but Mike Wallace will likely continue to get consistent looks. Peterson is the cornerstone of that offense, much like Calvin Johnson is in Detroit, so if he has a second consecutive underwhelming performance, the panic button might get pushed sooner.
HEADLINES
- Report: Raiders, Brady reach out to Belichick about head coaching job
- Vikings-Rams remains in L.A. amid wildfires; Arizona set as contingency
- Fantasy: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (January Edition)
- Report: Bears expected to interview Iowa State's Campbell
- Lynch: 49ers plan to keep Samuel for 2025, release Hargrave