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Team-by-Team Fantasy Projections: Arizona Diamondbacks

Ed Szczepanski / USA TODAY Sports

Here are the 2016 MLB fantasy projections for the Arizona Diamondbacks (ZiPS projections courtesy Dan Szymborski; Steamer projections courtesy Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom; Zeile projections courtesy FantasyPros):

Hitters

C Welington Castillo

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 38 88 14 48 1
Steamer 28 61 9 33 1
Zeile 36 71 12 39 1

Castillo should see the lion's share of the work behind the plate, having played at least 110 games in each of the last three seasons. He has some pop, but with that comes poor plate discipline and a general inability to work the count. Target him at the back end of drafts as a capable No. 2 option.

1B Paul Goldschmidt

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZIPS  85 146 27 94 16
Steamer 93 158 30 94 14
Zeile 100 164 30 94 16

Goldschmidt is one of the best hitters in baseball, and will likely be a top-3 pick in the majority of mixed redraft leagues. His 21 stolen bases in 2015 were a pleasant surprise, but owners shouldn't expect a similar result this season; still, something in the 10-15 range would be a terrific fantasy bonus.

2B Chris Owings

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 59 128 7 48 15
Steamer 45 119 8 49 13
Zeile 43 105 6 42 13

Owings will likely be relegated to place-filler duties on the majority of standard fantasy rosters; while he's projected to reach 500 plate appearances, he probably won't do much with them. Snag him late and stash him as a source of steals - but don't expect much else out of him.

3B Jake Lamb

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZIPS  45 97 9 44 3
Steamer 50 113 12 51 4
Zeile 58 121 12 54 4

Lamb has shown enough in nearly 500 major-league plate appearances to earn the starting third base job; he has some power, but will strike out a lot and won't hit high enough to rack up the RBIs. Even in NL-only leagues, Lamb is nothing more than a secondary option.

SS Jean Segura

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 66 153 7 51 27
Steamer 53 133 7 46 21
Zeile 58 137 7 47 23

Segura gets a much-needed change of scenery after underwhelming fantasy owners last season in Milwaukee. If he can fend off incumbent Nick Ahmed for the starting job at shortstop, he should be a decent source of stolen bases; consider him as a reserve middle infielder at the back end of drafts.

LF Yasmany Tomas

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 52 124 17 59 5
Steamer 53 127 16 64 6
Zeile 52 122 13 57 6

Tomas had an underwhelming first season in the majors, racking up 110 strikeouts against just 17 walks over 406 plate appearances. Don't expect much improvement there, though he should see an uptick in counting stats with more at-bats and some time in the cleanup role. He's a late-round flier.

CF A.J. Pollock

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 79 143 13 52 24
Steamer 86 172 15 64 28
Zeile 88 171 16 68 29

Pollock is coming off a sensational 2015 campaign, and should be an early-to-mid second-round pick in the majority of standard drafts. He'll assume the leadoff spot vacated by the departed Ender Inciarte, and should reach 30 steals for the second time in his career in addition to offering high run totals.

RF David Peralta

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 62 146 16 78 8
Steamer 67 151 16 71 8
Zeile 68 143 15 68 8

Depending on which fantasy site you use, Peralta might be eligible at all three outfield positions - a real coup in formats where you need to roster LF-, CF- or RF-specific players. Peralta is a decent No. 3 OF option in standard 10- and 12-team leagues; he'll see plenty of work and can hit for average and power.

Starters

RHP Zack Greinke

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZIPS 29 190.2 174 40 2.78
Steamer 32 209 196 45 3.07
Zeile 32 205 191 44 3.01

Greinke wasn't just great last season, he was confoundingly so. He's projected to regress significantly in his first season with the Diamondbacks, but should still be good enough for a top-10 ranking among starters. Choosing him anywhere in the third round is a good gamble to take.

RHP Shelby Miller

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 31 185 156 64 3.65
Steamer 31 187 155 65 4.09
Zeile 31 191 157 68 3.83

Miller was tremendously win-unlucky last season despite impressive peripherals; there's no telling whether the victories will emerge in 2016, but fantasy owners should expect higher rate stats with the move to the desert. He's a borderline top-40 starter with limited upside.

LHP Patrick Corbin

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 21 128.2 105 32 3.71
Steamer 26 151 133 39 3.51
Zeile 26 148 132 36 3.53

Corbin is a reach in all but the deepest leagues, but may hold some NL-only value if he can make 25+ starts. Still, that's a big "if" for a guy who has started just 16 games in the past two seasons. Corbin showed promise with a 2.43 ERA in five September starts last season, and may be worth a stash.

RHP Rubby de la Rosa

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 28 163 132 54 4.36
Steamer 24 140 117 48 4.13
Zeile 24 159 128 54 4.11

There isn't much to hang a hat on here - de la Rosa offered up a whopping 32 home runs in just 188 2/3 innings last season, and doesn't have the kind of K/9 rate to excuse that. His rate stats will kill you, especially in an era where good pitching is easy to find. Ignore him in standard drafts.

LHP Robbie Ray

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 29 151.2 143 62 3.86
Steamer 21 118 116 49 3.92
Zeile 21 143 128 60 4.00

Ray is by no means guaranteed to reach 20 starts, but if he does, he offers intriguing strikeout potential. If you're going to take a chance on him - and you should in deeper leagues - it might be worthwhile to platoon him; he was 1-6 with a 4.88 ERA at home compared to 4-6, 2.49 away from Arizona.

Closer

RHP Brad Ziegler

SOURCE IP K BB ERA
ZIPS 58.2 40 18 3.37
Steamer 65 44 21 3.42
Zeile 62 40 19 2.93

The arrival of Greinke and Miller should mean a healthy increase in save opportunities for Ziegler, who will look to fend off Tyler Clippard and Daniel Hudson for the ninth-inning role. Ziegler's peripherals are ordinary, and he'll be on a short leash for an Arizona team expecting to contend. He's risky, but has nice upside.

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