Team-by-Team Fantasy Projections: Toronto Blue Jays
Here are the 2016 MLB fantasy projections for the Toronto Blue Jays (ZiPS projections courtesy Dan Szymborski; Steamer projections courtesy Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom; Zeile projections courtesy FantasyPros):
Hitters
C Russell Martin
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 50 | 91 | 16 | 63 | 5 |
Steamer | 53 | 94 | 16 | 54 | 5 |
Zeile | 59 | 100 | 18 | 57 | 5 |
Another year of acclimation to American League pitching should bode well for Martin. With the amount of times the Blue Jays can turn their lineup over on any given night, Martin is a solid fantasy catcher who will see plenty of RBI chances. He excels in leagues that include OBP and walks.
1B Chris Colabello
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 55 | 112 | 19 | 70 | 1 |
Steamer | 40 | 81 | 14 | 45 | 1 |
Zeile | 43 | 86 | 14 | 46 | 1 |
Colabello should take on a full-time role in 2016 after hitting .321 last year and playing strong defense in the playoffs. Projected to hit sixth, Colabello's free-swinging, gap-to-gap approach gives him 90-RBI potential hitting behind OBP machines. He can be had late due to a loaded 1B crop.
2B Devon Travis
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 53 | 104 | 13 | 53 | 7 |
Steamer | 39 | 80 | 8 | 39 | 6 |
Zeile | 43 | 88 | 9 | 39 | 7 |
Travis will be out until at least May after having offseason shoulder surgery, making for a great late-round pick and IR stash. He was Toronto's best hitter last April, showcasing surprising opposite field power and an outstanding approach at the plate. He's a potential leadoff candidate once he returns.
3B Josh Donaldson
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 90 | 159 | 32 | 105 | 6 |
Steamer | 96 | 158 | 30 | 96 | 4 |
Zeile | 97 | 161 | 32 | 95 | 6 |
Donaldson can be drafted in the first round with confidence. Playing in a hitter-friendly ballpark and having the best protection of any slugger in the game should help him maintain his big stat lines after taking home the AL MVP award a season ago.
SS Troy Tulowitzki
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 57 | 108 | 17 | 61 | 1 |
Steamer | 67 | 120 | 19 | 64 | 2 |
Zeile | 67 | 125 | 20 | 65 | 2 |
Tulowitzki won't be the fantasy shortstop he was in the hitter-friendly altitude of Coors Field, but won't be nearly as bad as he was after being acquired mid-season by Toronto last year. His injury history is slightly concerning, but he has 100-RBI potential thanks to the RISP chances he'll have hitting fifth.
LF Michael Saunders
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 38 | 60 | 8 | 42 | 5 |
Steamer | 37 | 69 | 9 | 35 | 5 |
Zeile | 21 | 39 | 5 | 20 | 3 |
Saunders' fantasy value is on the rise and since winning the starting gig in left field for the time being. He could very well approach his career high of 19 home runs if given a full season of work and the possibility of hitting in the Blue Jays juggernaut offense. He will be available in the later rounds of redrafts.
CF Kevin Pillar
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 69 | 156 | 12 | 66 | 22 |
Steamer | 59 | 139 | 11 | 59 | 17 |
Zeile | 63 | 141 | 11 | 61 | 19 |
If defensive runs saved happens to be a stat in your fantasy league, then Pillar is your guy. His undisciplined, free-swinging approach makes it doubtful that he surpasses his .278 BA from a year ago. However, as a potential leadoff candidate, he could score plenty of runs and see great pitches to hit.
RF Jose Bautista
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 78 | 115 | 30 | 92 | 5 |
Steamer | 84 | 127 | 31 | 90 | 5 |
Zeile | 90 | 130 | 33 | 90 | 6 |
Bautista can safely be drafted in the first two rounds given his consistent power numbers over the years. He gains value in leagues with OBP and BB, as he has one of the best batting eyes in all of baseball. At 35 and in a contract year, it's most likely his last chance to cash in; expect a big season.
DH Edwin Encarnacion
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 73 | 129 | 29 | 97 | 4 |
Steamer | 77 | 124 | 30 | 88 | 3 |
Zeile | 83 | 130 | 33 | 90 | 3 |
Like fellow countryman Bautista, Encarnacion, 33, will be playing in a contract year. Over the last four seasons, EE has averaged 88 runs, 142 hits, 38 homers and 106 RBI. One of the league's most underrated hitters will be a high pick with the glut of talented fantasy 1Bs a concern. He has yet to play in a game this spring due to an abscessed tooth and oblique injury, but is expected to be ready for opening day.
Starters
RHP Marcus Stroman
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 18 | 104.1 | 89 | 24 | 3.80 |
Steamer | 32 | 201 | 167 | 55 | 3.69 |
Zeile | 32 | 179 | 150 | 45 | 3.45 |
Stroman should collect plenty of wins with the best offense in baseball backing him. His impressive 64.1 ground ball percentage bodes well with a strong infield defense behind him, but it limits the number of batters he will strike out. He projects as a mid-tier fantasy starter.
RHP Marco Estrada
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 27 | 157.1 | 123 | 46 | 4.06 |
Steamer | 29 | 174 | 132 | 53 | 4.48 |
Zeile | 29 | 171 | 130 | 52 | 4.06 |
It's highly unlikely Estrada holds foes to a .203 average once again, but his fastball command and devastating change-up will hold off hitters just enough to make him an effective middle-of-the-rotation starter. His clean delivery and slow velocity minimizes his chances of getting injured. He has been battling a sore back for most of the spring so monitor his injury situation.
RHP R.A. Dickey
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 28 | 175.1 | 93 | 58 | 4.41 |
Steamer | 31 | 194 | 135 | 60 | 4.29 |
Zeile | 31 | 197 | 135 | 61 | 4.15 |
The knuckleballer has started 33 games and logged at least 214 innings in each of his three years in Toronto. What Dickey lacks in punch outs, he makes up for as a clutch fantasy performer. His 3.07 ERA in the month of September since becoming a full-time starter in 2010 is the stuff that wins fantasy titles.
LHP J.A. Happ
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 25 | 137.2 | 114 | 43 | 4.38 |
Steamer | 28 | 155 | 132 | 48 | 3.96 |
Zeile | 28 | 158 | 135 | 48 | 3.91 |
Happ made a mechanical adjustment when he arrived in Pittsburgh at the 2015 deadline, going 7-2 with a 1.85 ERA down the stretch. He has pitched in Toronto before, posting a 4.22 ERA in 26 starts back in 2014. He has value in deep leagues based on a guaranteed rotation spot and a 15-win ceiling.
RHP Aaron Sanchez
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 14 | 108 | 80 | 53 | 3.92 |
Steamer | 23 | 141 | 106 | 69 | 4.47 |
Zeile | 8 | 82 | 63 | 40 | 3.97 |
Sanchez started last season in Toronto's rotation, posting a 3.55 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in 11 starts before an injury forced him to the bullpen. Sanchez gained 25 pounds of muscle in the offseason and has all the makings of a high-end starter thanks to the devastating movement on his upper 90s sinker. His ceiling is extremely high, but he could also find himself back in the bullpen.
Closer
RHP Roberto Osuna
SOURCE | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 63.1 | 72 | 20 | 3.13 |
Steamer | 65 | 72 | 21 | 3.22 |
Zeile | 65 | 71 | 19 | 3.12 |
Osuna posted a 2.58 ERA as a 20-year-old while spending most of 2015 as Toronto's closer. His average fastball velocity was 96 MPH, to go along with a plus change and a sharp slider. His mechanics and poise are advanced beyond his years, but Osuna isn't a lock to be the closer in 2016 with experienced RP Drew Storen in the mix. Monitor the battle.
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