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Team-by-Team Fantasy Projections: St. Louis Cardinals

Billy Hurst / USA TODAY Sports

Here are the 2016 MLB fantasy projections for the St. Louis Cardinals (ZiPS projections courtesy Dan Szymborski; Steamer projections courtesy Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom; Zeile projections courtesy FantasyPros):

Hitters

C Yadier Molina

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 41 128 7 58 3
Steamer 40 108 7 45 2
Zeile 42 116 6 49 2

Molina, despite his reputation for being injury-plagued, hasn't played fewer than 110 games since his rookie year. Coming off two thumb surgeries this offseason, he'll provide a reasonable batting average and RBI production, but projects more as a No. 2 catcher or a last-ditch No. 1 if you punt the category.

1B Matt Adams

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 36 91 11 50 2
Steamer 44 98 15 54 2
Zeile 34 77 11 40 2

Adams will likely platoon with Brandon Moss at 1B, but hitting from the left side - in a righty-heavy lineup - will find him in the starting lineup with more regularity. He's not a bad depth bat in NL-only leagues, but should be left alone on draft day in all but the deepest of mixed leagues. Keep an eye on him in case his pop develops into a 20-plus HR pace.

2B Kolten Wong

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 68 137 11 56 18
Steamer 61 140 12 58 16
Zeile 65 136 13 58 16

Wong's projections are generally unanimous. He'll give you a decent amount of steals with some minor pop. He's worth targeting in the middle rounds because of the 2B wasteland. He's guaranteed the starting job, should bat near the top of the lineup and won't feel much pressure even if he struggles.

3B Matt Carpenter

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 93 147 16 71 4
Steamer 89 155 16 62 6
Zeile 94 157 20 73 5

Carpenter hit for more power (28 HR), but kept his batting average pace from the year before. He'll carry a bit more value in leagues where he holds 2B eligibility. He likely won't match the home run total, but he'll do a little bit of everything from the leadoff spot or the two-hole.

SS Jedd Gyorko

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 56 120 18 74 1
Steamer 58 132 14 64 3
Zeile 61 142 16 69 2

Gyorko moves from a utility bench role into the starting shortstop job with the news that SS Jhonny Peralta could miss several months due to a torn ligament in his hand. He has proven power ability but it comes at the expense of his batting average. He's likely to hit near the bottom of the order, limiting his potential. Ruben Tejada could also sneak into the starting role, limiting Gyorko's value even further.

LF Matt Holliday

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 52 102 14 64 3
Steamer 65 128 16 66 3
Zeile 67 126 15 67 3

2015 was a disaster for Holliday. He landed on the DL multiple times and finished with four homers. His power seemingly evaporated. Projections don't look kindly on him, but he could be a sneaky bounce-back candidate. Prior to 2015, he hadn't missed the 20-HR mark since 2005, his second season.

CF Randal Grichuk

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 64 115 19 59 6
Steamer 59 121 20 70 6
Zeile 63 119 22 67 6

Failing to re-sign Jason Heyward may not have benefited St. Louis, but Grichuk should see a spike in playing time. The power is real and he should be targeted in the middle rounds of NL-only drafts. He's not a bad late-round flier in mixed-league formats in case he breaks out.

RF Stephen Piscotty

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 68 143 13 65 7
Steamer 58 129 12 56 7
Zeile 63 132 15 66 5

Piscotty was a nice waiver wire addition midway through 2015 and should build upon his success. He'll hit for a solid average with some decent pop - though 20 HR seems high. He should be targeted in keeper and dynasty leagues while making a good depth option late in mixed leagues.

Starters

RHP Adam Wainwright

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 23 156 126 32 3.12
Steamer 31 203 162 44 3.52
Zeile 31 174 148 40 3.29

Wainwright may be a better play in 2017 as he works his way back from injury. His draft position has dropped, however, and people are probably sleeping on him. He doesn't walk anyone and boasts a respectable 7.6 K/9 for his career. He'll be undervalued in most drafts and worth a shot in the middle rounds.

LHP Jaime Garcia

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 16 92.7 72 23 3.40
Steamer 19 116 94 30 3.39
Zeile 19 120 98 30 3.33

Garcia, injury risk extraordinaire, was easily plucked off waiver wires in 2015. Projections reveal low expectations in terms of how many starts he'll make; he hasn't topped 20 in a season since 2011. When healthy, he's been good-to-spectacular. Take him late in the draft, but keep an IR spot ready.

RHP Michael Wacha

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 26 154 137 49 3.51
Steamer 29 173 153 53 3.70
Zeile 29 182 164 57 3.47

Wacha labored down the stretch, posting a 7.88 ERA in five September starts with a lower K/9 than in any other month. Going into September, he had a 2.69 ERA. He never exceeded seven innings in any start, but he also never threw fewer than five before September. He'll put himself in line for wins. He's most valuable in NL-only leagues, but can be taken later on in mixed leagues.

RHP Mike Leake

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 28 176.7 114 44 3.77
Steamer 32 201 135 52 3.98
Zeile 32 191 137 52 3.96

Leake will be best deployed in H2H leagues. He should be drafted late, if at all, and not unless you've drafted several strikeout-heavy pitchers. He'll likely end up on waivers in deeper leagues and should only be deployed in favourable matchups where you need a win.

RHP Carlos Martinez

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 29 172.3 167 57 3.34
Steamer 28 159 157 56 3.48
Zeile 28 167 177 58 3.15

Armed with electric stuff and questionable command, Martinez notched a 9.2 K/9 in 2015 over 179.2 IP. He should be firmly locked in as a starter after bouncing between the rotation and bullpen since his debut in 2013. He's mixed-league viable and especially attractive in keeper leagues.

Closer

RHP Trevor Rosenthal

SOURCE IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 74.7 97 29 2.53
Steamer 65 80 25 2.85
Zeile 66 85 27 2.77

If his arm doesn't fall off from being overworked, Rosenthal should strike out a ton and pick up a boatload of saves. He finished second in the majors last season with 48. He should be lights out early, but based on trends, don't hesitate to trade him if his usage balloons. He could be a sell-high candidate before mid-season.

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