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Team-by-Team Fantasy Projections: Washington Nationals

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Here are the 2016 MLB fantasy projections for the Washington Nationals (ZiPS projections courtesy Dan Szymborski; Steamer projections courtesy Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom; Zeile projections courtesy FantasyPros):

Hitters

C Wilson Ramos

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 35 92 13 57 0
Steamer 40 93 14 47 1
Zeile 45 102 15 50 1

Ramos is tabbed as the starting catcher, and should produce above-average power for the position. Unfortunately, he doesn't help you anywhere else - and he's projected to hit at the bottom of the order, which adversely impacts his counting stats. He's an average second option in two-catcher leagues.

1B Ryan Zimmerman

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 49 98 15 69 2
Steamer 48 100 15 56 2
Zeile 54 106 16 58 2

The projections are startlingly low for Zimmerman, who is expected to bat cleanup to start the season. While he has struggled with durability - playing just 156 games the past two seasons - he has remained modestly productive and could exceed 80 RBIs if he stays healthy. That is, however, a big "if".

2B Daniel Murphy

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 76 161 12 74 10
Steamer 63 151 9 58 6
Zeile 65 150 10 60 7

Murphy goes from Mets playoff hero to Nationals starting second baseman; his versatility adds a slight uptick in value, but there really isn't much to see here. The steals vanished last season, and likely won't return with Murphy hitting lower in the order. He's a backup in the majority of mixed leagues.

3B Anthony Rendon

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 67 122 13 52 6
Steamer 76 142 15 61 6
Zeile 73 141 14 61 6

Rendon went from fantasy darling to waiver-wire afterthought following an injury-riddled 2015 campaign; his power disappeared, as did his speed. Expect some bounce-back in 2016, but a repeat of his 21-homer, 17-steal 2014 season seems unlikely. That said, he's still a decent pick in rounds 7-8.

SS Danny Espinosa

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 49 88 11 37 7
Steamer 27 60 7 29 4
Zeile 35 69 9 34 5

Espinosa might be the first player this season to lose his starting role; Trea Turner is banging down the door, and is a vastly superior player. Even if Espinosa somehow manages to collect 300+ at-bats, he won't contribute enough to be worth a draft pick. Don't even consider him.

LF Jayson Werth

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 55 93 13 52 4
Steamer 50 102 12 52 3
Zeile 55 105 14 52 4

The days of Werth as a valuable multi-category contributor are long gone. He regressed into the muck last season, dipping below his previous low OBP by nearly 30 points. Werth also turns 37 in May. He shouldn't be owned in any season-long fantasy format.

CF Ben Revere

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 75 166 1 36 34
Steamer 65 161 2 42 28
Zeile 67 167 2 48 32

Revere takes over leadoff duties for the Nationals, and could be in for a solid year. He gets on base enough to approach the 80-run plateau, and should have a good shot at 30+ steals. His complete lack of pop restricts his value, but he's a suitable OF3 in deep leagues and a nice OF4 in shallower formats.

RF Bryce Harper

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 93 147 34 79 5
Steamer 95 156 34 99 7
Zeile 103 163 35 101 7

Harper unleashed his potential last season, leading the majors in OBP (.460) and OPS (1.109) while belting 42 home runs en route to the NL MVP award. While the power may regress somewhat, he's the real deal - and worth the second or third overall pick in the majority of mixed-league drafts.

Starters

RHP Max Scherzer

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 31 212.1 249 57 2.67
Steamer 32 212 253 45 2.71
Zeile 32 211 253 45 2.97

Scherzer was a buzzsaw last season, finishing with a career-best 276 strikeouts and leading the majors with three complete-game shutouts. His win total will depend on whether he gets some run support this season, but make no mistake: He's a top-3 pitcher and worthy of a second-round pick.

RHP Stephen Strasburg

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 29 169.2 194 37 2.92
Steamer 31 185 210 42 2.94
Zeile 31 180 212 40 3.22

The issue with Strasburg is health: After leading the NL with 34 starts in 2014, neck, back and oblique injuries limited him to just 23 appearances last season. If he can make it to the 30-start plateau, he's a lock to exceed 200 strikeouts with terrific rate stats. Draft him as an SP2 in mixed leagues.

LHP Gio Gonzalez

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 28 162.2 160 63 3.43
Steamer 29 170 160 62 3.74
Zeile 29 174 171 64 3.84

Gonzalez has seen his ERA rise every season since 2012, though he has posted solid FIPs in back-to-back years and might benefit from what could be a stronger Washington defense. Walks are always a concern for Gonzalez, but he's a solid SP5-6 in standard mixed leagues.

RHP Tanner Roark

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 20 141.1 96 33 3.69
Steamer 24 142 100 35 4.14
Zeile 24 143 102 34 3.90

Roark should find himself back in a full-time starting role in 2016 after making 12 starts and 28 relief appearances last season. His low K rate ruins most of his fantasy value, though he's a good bet to repeat his 15-win 2014 season if he makes enough starts. Target him as a SP7-8 in standard leagues.

RHP Joe Ross

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 25 135.1 112 39 3.86
Steamer 23 129 108 39 3.92
Zeile 23 152 132 45 4.03

Ross had a solid audition over 13 starts and three relief appearances as a rookie. Projections have his K rate dipping, which would hurt what little value he has as a fantasy starter. He's a longshot to make more than 25 starts this season, making him a matchups-dependent waiver-wire pickup.

Closer

RHP Jonathan Papelbon

SOURCE IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 56.2 49 12 3.02
Steamer 65 57 17 3.61
Zeile 65 59 14 2.83

Papelbon will enter the season as the Nats' ninth-inning option, making him a good bet to reach 30 saves even if he doesn't have a great year. Papelbon remains an elite closer, though his K rates have taken a major hit since 2012. He's an RP2 in 10-team leagues and a borderline RP1 in larger formats.

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