Team-by-Team Fantasy Projections: Seattle Mariners
Here are the 2016 MLB fantasy projections for the Seattle Mariners (ZiPS projections courtesy Dan Szymborski; Steamer projections courtesy Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom; Zeile projections courtesy FantasyPros):
Hitters
C Chris Iannetta
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 31 | 58 | 9 | 34 | 1 |
Steamer | 30 | 53 | 8 | 29 | 2 |
Zeile | 37 | 60 | 9 | 32 | 2 |
Iannetta joined the Mariners via free agency this offseason to take over as the starting catcher. He hasn't topped 15 home runs since 2009 and turns 33 in early-April. His lack of power and inability to hit for average makes him a C2 in AL-only leagues and undraftable in mixed formats.
1B Adam Lind
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 51 | 108 | 12 | 57 | 0 |
Steamer | 55 | 115 | 15 | 59 | 1 |
Zeile | 66 | 131 | 17 | 66 | 1 |
The long-time Blue Jay was a fantasy revelation for the Brewers last season, knocking in 87 runs while belting 20 homers. ZiPS and Steamer have projected him to regress this season, while Zeile believes he will have no trouble repeating last year's slash line. Lind is a great bench option at 1B in standard fantasy league formats.
2B Robinson Cano
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 77 | 170 | 17 | 79 | 5 |
Steamer | 76 | 167 | 18 | 81 | 5 |
Zeile | 81 | 170 | 19 | 81 | 5 |
Cano has failed to rekindle his heavy-hitter days with the Yankees, where he combined for 117 HRs and 428 RBIs from 2010-2013. He's well worth starting at 2B on season-long rosters and has been given much needed help at the top of the order with SS Ketel Marte showing promise as a lead-off hitter.
3B Kyle Seager
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 82 | 156 | 24 | 83 | 8 |
Steamer | 77 | 151 | 22 | 80 | 7 |
Zeile | 80 | 154 | 23 | 81 | 7 |
The Mariners' top of the order will be must-haves in season-long leagues, with Seager the top option. He was one of the team's leading home run hitters a year ago and is a top-5 fantasy 3B. He will likely hit in the fifth spot behind DH Nelson Cruz.
SS Ketel Marte
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 64 | 144 | 6 | 47 | 24 |
Steamer | 57 | 135 | 5 | 57 | 22 |
Zeile | 61 | 139 | 5 | 47 | 22 |
Marte was promoted to the big team in early-August and should bring energy to a lifeless Mariners lineup. He has 25-steal upside and hitting in the second spot as a switch hitter could increase his RBI totals. He will be available in the later rounds of redrafts and could be a fantasy sleeper.
LF Nori Aoki
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 54 | 118 | 5 | 32 | 14 |
Steamer | 63 | 133 | 6 | 43 | 15 |
Zeile | 63 | 136 | 6 | 46 | 16 |
Aoki, who was acquired via free agency, brings stability to an outfield that has been a revolving door. Though he's projected to bat first, he isn't worth a draft pick in shallow leagues but is better suited as a viable waiver wire pick up if the bats in Seattle stay hot.
CF Leonys Martin
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 48 | 101 | 8 | 37 | 23 |
Steamer | 49 | 108 | 8 | 45 | 22 |
Zeile | 54 | 115 | 8 | 46 | 25 |
The former Texas Ranger is expected to start in CF, but hitting at the bottom of the Mariners' top-heavy batting order hinders Martin's fantasy value. He's never reached double digits in home runs and shouldn't be drafted in any fantasy league.
RF Seth Smith
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 51 | 91 | 11 | 41 | 0 |
Steamer | 48 | 96 | 11 | 47 | 1 |
Zeile | 52 | 96 | 11 | 46 | 1 |
Smith is coming off a subpar 2015 by his standards, and enters this season at 33. Playing at Safeco Field will hinder his fantasy production and limit his already-capped ceiling. He should be an afterthought in all formats.
DH Nelson Cruz
SOURCE | R | H | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 72 | 143 | 33 | 84 | 4 |
Steamer | 77 | 141 | 31 | 93 | 3 |
Zeile | 83 | 147 | 34 | 94 | 3 |
Though ZiPS has Cruz tailing off drastically, the 36-year-old has proven the past two years he can still swing it with considerable power, posting back-to-back 40-HR seasons. He'll see a dip in ADP in redrafts, though owners should bank on Cruz not missing a step and hammering out at least 30 HR.
Starters
RHP Felix Hernandez
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 30 | 200.3 | 203 | 49 | 3.14 |
Steamer | 32 | 208 | 202 | 10 | 3.18 |
Zeile | 32 | 208 | 205 | 52 | 3.12 |
Hernandez comes into this season with more concerns than in years past - his ERA jumped nearly 1 1/2 points, and his K rate was its lowest since 2010. That said, he's still an elite pitcher and is worthy of a third- or fourth-round pick in redraft leagues.
RHP Hisashi Iwakuma
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 24 | 147.7 | 126 | 24 | 3.72 |
Steamer | 28 | 168 | 137 | 30 | 3.43 |
Zeile | 28 | 156 | 129 | 26 | 3.41 |
After posting an exceptional 2.66 ERA in 2013, Iwakuma has had back-to-back campaigns with a 3.50+ ERA. Despite his mediocre ERA, the Japanese pitcher has won 38 games and lost just 20 in that span. With added run support in Seattle, Iwakuma should be drafted in the middle rounds.
LHP Wade Miley
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 30 | 179 | 146 | 62 | 4.27 |
Steamer | 29 | 175 | 133 | 57 | 4.00 |
Zeile | 29 | 186 | 146 | 62 | 4.03 |
Miley adds a much needed lefty arm to the rotation, though he has the tendency to be shelled from time to time. He's an average starter at best despite his high-velocity cutter, and should be left alone in fantasy leagues.
RHP Taijuan Walker
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 25 | 145.3 | 135 | 41 | 4.33 |
Steamer | 31 | 184 | 172 | 55 | 3.68 |
Zeile | 31 | 184 | 172 | 53 | 3.62 |
With a full major-league season under his belt, Walker is expected to be a fixture in the starting rotation. The 23-year-old is a decent late-round flier in season-long leagues, armed with a four-seam fastball/splitter combination that will give opposing batters headaches.
RHP Nate Karns
SOURCE | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 25 | 139.3 | 136 | 54 | 4.39 |
Steamer | 23 | 128 | 115 | 47 | 4.07 |
Zeile | 23 | 142 | 130 | 54 | 4.07 |
Karns has a decent K rate, but doesn't have much else working for him and will likely be the first starter bumped if he struggles. He possesses little to no fantasy value.
Closer
RHP Steve Cishek
SOURCE | G | IP | K | BB | ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZiPS | 64 | 61.7 | 63 | 23 | 3.50 |
Steamer | 65 | 65 | 57 | 24 | 3.85 |
Zeile | 65 | 62 | 59 | 24 | 3.59 |
Cishek is no stranger to the closer role, recording back-to-back 30-save seasons in 2013 and 2014. He has proven to be a quality fantasy closer, though he does carry some risk and should be drafted as an RP2.
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