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Team-by-Team Fantasy Projections: Milwaukee Brewers

Benny Sieu / USA TODAY Sports

Here are the 2016 MLB fantasy projections for the Milwaukee Brewers (ZiPS projections courtesy Dan Szymborski; Steamer projections courtesy Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom; Zeile projections courtesy FantasyPros):

Hitters

C Jonathan Lucroy

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPs 56 119 9 55 2
Steamer 60 128 12 54 3
Zeile 66 133 12 59 3

Lucroy can be taken as the third catcher off the board in NL-only leagues, and anywhere from the fourth to 10th catcher in mixed leagues. He had an off-year in 2015, but hit over .300 in two of the past four seasons. Batting second in front of Ryan Braun, he'll get plenty of chances for hits and runs.

1B Chris Carter

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPs 65 103 31 85 2
Steamer 47 77 22 55 2
Zeile 61 95 28 71 2

Carter hit 90 home runs over the past three seasons with the Astros. But he also batted just .218 over that span while striking out an alarming 545 times. He's worthy of a late-round flier in mixed leagues, and is a decent mid-round pick in NL-only leagues. Just don't expect an average north of .230.

2B Scooter Gennett

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPs 61 141 10 52 5
Steamer 32 83 6 31 4
Zeile 52 125 9 48 4

Gennett's OPS declined from .834 in his rookie year to .754 in 2014 to .675 a season ago. The regression largely stems from his inability to hit LHP. Gennett has a career BA of .124 vs. lefties compared to .307 vs. RHP. He's a lower-tier NL-only second baseman who will likely sit against most southpaws.

3B Aaron Hill

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPs 43 97 11 51 5
Steamer 33 74 7 33 4
Zeile 38 83 8 40 5

Hill will be 34 on Opening Day and is now seven years removed from his career year with Toronto when he slashed .286/.330/.499 with 36 HR, 37 doubles and 108 RBI. He hasn't recorded an OPS above .654 since 2013 and owners shouldn't count on him bouncing back while hitting in a bad lineup.

SS Jonathan Villar

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPs 59 107 10 46 33
Steamer 28 61 6 27 18
Zeile 38 70 6 30 22

After struggling offensively in his first two seasons in the majors, Villar slashed .284/.339/.414 in 128 plate appearances a season ago in Houston before Carlos Correa took over at SS. He's still only 24 and has the potential to steal 30 bases this season. He's worthy of a late round pick in NL-only leagues.

LF Ryan Braun

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPs 80 147 23 90 18
Steamer 72 144 23 78 15
Zeile 80 146 24 81 17

Braun bounced back in a big way last season, posting an .854 OPS. His 24 stolen bases were a nice bonus as well, though owners shouldn't count on a repeat. Braun may also see his overall protection wane following the departures of Carlos Gomez and Khris Davis.

CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPs 45 67 13 45 5
Steamer 19 38 6 21 3
Zeile 30 51 9 31 5

Brewers' manager Craig Counsell said he may not name a starter at CF this season, which leads to time split at the position between Nieuwenhuis and young speedster Keon Broxton. Both have little to no fantasy relevance in season long formats and should be left undrafted.

RF Domingo Santana

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPs 75 127 26 84 5
Steamer 57 115 19 63 6
Zeile 63 117 19 66 7

Santana slashed .238/.337/.431 in 187 PA between Houston and Milwaukee last season. Throughout his minor-league career, he has posted a high OBP and solid power numbers. His upside and guaranteed playing time make him an intriguing late-round pick in mixed leagues.

Starters

RHP Wily Peralta

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPs 26 149.2 106 50 4.57
Steamer 29 173 122 57 4.50
Zeile 27 159 111 53 4.39

After winning 17 games and posting a 3.53 ERA in 2014, Peralta came down to Earth in 2015, winning only five games and registering a 4.72 ERA. It's hard to imagine him returning to his 2014 form, but a low-4s ERA isn't totally out of the question. He only has value in NL-only leagues.

RHP Jimmy Nelson

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPs 27 161.1 141 61 3.90
Steamer 31 188 164 66 4.28
Zeile 30 179 154 63 4.16

Nelson lead the NL in HBP with 13 a year ago. Either he's not afraid to work inside or he has control issues; his 65 BB would indicate the latter. That said, he developed a sharp curveball in the second half of 2015 which lead to more strikeouts. He is a mid-to-late-round pick in NL-only leagues.

RHP Taylor Jungmann

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPs 28 161.2 149 66 3.90
Steamer 21 120 102 52 4.67
Zeile 24 148 128 60 4.32

Jungmann has the most upside of any Brewers pitcher, posting a 3.77 ERA as a rookie last season. He's 6-foot-6 and has a bit of a funky delivery, throwing across his body, which could lead to command issues. He's a mid-to-late-round option in NL-only leagues and isn't worth drafting in mixed formats.

RHP Matt Garza

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPs 23 138 105 44 4.43
Steamer 28 163 125 53 4.49
Zeile 18 146 111 49 4.57

After being a model of consistency with eight straight years of an ERA under 4.00, Garza had a disaster season, clocking in with a 5.63 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP. Don't expect him to return to his sub-4.00 ERA form, but he's certainly not as bad as he was last season. He's a late rounder in NL-only leagues.

RHP Chase Anderson

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPs 26 144.1 122 43 4.30
Steamer 24 137 115 42 4.27
Zeile 24 135 110 41 4.29

Anderson had two solid seasons in Arizona and is capable of being a fifth starter. At 28, its unlikely he's getting any better and isn't relevant in the fantasy universe.

Closer

RHP Jeremy Jeffress

SOURCE IP K BB ERA
ZiPs 62.7 60 23 3.30
Steamer 65 64 24 3.45
Zeile 61 59 22 3.20

A bizarre knee injury is expected to keep Brewers' RP Will Smith sidelined for a significant amount of time, which opens the door for Jeffress to take over the closer role. Though he won't record many saves on a poor Brewers team, he still has low-end closer value thanks to his high upside.

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