MLB Positional Fantasy Rankings: Starting Pitchers (Part 3)
Here are theScore's 2016 fantasy starting pitcher rankings (projections provided by Steamer (via Fangraphs) and theScore staff):
Positional Rankings
C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | OF1 | OF2 | OF3 | DH | SP1 | SP2 | SP3 | RP
51. John Lackey, Chicago Cubs
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 14-10 | 3.82 | 1.28 | 164 | 47 |
2015 | 13-10 | 2.77 | 1.21 | 175 | 53 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 14-11 | 3.89 | 1.27 | 157 | 64 |
A change of scenery likely won't have a significant impact on Lackey's fantasy stats, though he'll be in line for a boatload of wins behind that lineup.
52. Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 14-13 | 2.89 | 1.08 | 186 | 51 |
2015 | 11-8 | 4.04 | 1.31 | 171 | 73 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 10-13 | 3.91 | 1.28 | 175 | 68 |
Teheran should fare better than he did last year, but only modestly. A lack of run support will torpedo his chances of getting back to the 14-win mark.
53. Taijuan Walker, Seattle Mariners
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 2-3 | 2.61 | 1.29 | 34 | 18 |
2015 | 11-8 | 4.56 | 1.20 | 157 | 40 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 12-9 | 4.01 | 1.18 | 155 | 40 |
If Walker can cut his home runs allowed - he had 25 in 169 2/3 innings last season - he'll be a top-50 option. Snag him as a high-upside SP6.
54. Gio Gonzalez, Washington Nationals
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 10-10 | 3.57 | 1.20 | 162 | 56 |
2015 | 11-8 | 3.79 | 1.42 | 169 | 69 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 12-10 | 3.97 | 1.43 | 160 | 72 |
Gonzalez posted his lowest K/9 rate since 2010 last season, while his BB/9 climbed back to 3.5. He's a high-risk SP6 who will likely go earlier.
55. Jaime Garcia, St. Louis Cardinals
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 3-1 | 4.12 | 1.05 | 39 | 7 |
2015 | 10-6 | 2.43 | 1.05 | 97 | 30 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 11-7 | 3.84 | 1.26 | 128 | 47 |
Injuries have limited Garcia to 36 starts over three seasons. He could be a sneaky play in the 16th-18th rounds, but prepare for fewer than 30 starts.
56. Yordano Ventura, Kansas City Royals
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 14-10 | 3.20 | 1.30 | 159 | 69 |
2015 | 13-8 | 4.08 | 1.30 | 156 | 58 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 13-11 | 3.96 | 1.31 | 160 | 66 |
Ventura was run-unlucky last season, but remains a solid SP 5-6 thanks to decent BB and K rates and low HR allowed totals.
57. Marco Estrada, Toronto Blue Jays
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 7-6 | 4.36 | 1.20 | 127 | 44 |
2015 | 13-8 | 3.13 | 1.04 | 131 | 55 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 13-10 | 4.01 | 1.14 | 137 | 60 |
Estrada outpitched his FIP by more than 1.25 last season; expect a major course correction in 2016, though he's still a solid SP6.
58. Joe Ross, Washington Nationals
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
2015 | 5-5 | 3.64 | 1.11 | 69 | 21 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 9-7 | 3.81 | 1.21 | 115 | 33 |
Reach for Ross if it appears he'll see a full complement of starts; he has major upside, but will likely face competition for starts heading into 2016.
59. Patrick Corbin, Arizona Diamondbacks
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
2015 | 6-5 | 3.60 | 1.27 | 78 | 17 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 11-8 | 4.06 | 1.30 | 155 | 66 |
Corbin was impressive in an abbreviated 2015 campaign, and should return fair value as a 17th- to 19th-round pick in standard drafts.
60. Kyle Hendricks, Chicago Cubs
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 7-2 | 2.46 | 1.08 | 47 | 15 |
2015 | 8-7 | 3.95 | 1.16 | 167 | 43 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 12-9 | 4.12 | 1.19 | 170 | 52 |
Hendricks flashed big-time potential in 2015, and still has room for improvement; he's a high-upside SP6 who could finish as a top-50 starter.
61. Kenta Maeda, Los Angeles Dodgers
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 (JPCL) | 11-9 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 161 | 41 |
2015 (JPCL) | 15-8 | 2.09 | 1.01 | 175 | 41 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 11-9 | 3.88 | 1.22 | 148 | 57 |
Maeda is a mystery, which means he'll likely be overdrafted - but with a rotation spot all but secure, you could do worse in the 17th-19th rounds.
62. Wei-Yin Chen, Miami Marlins
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 16-6 | 3.54 | 1.23 | 136 | 35 |
2015 | 11-8 | 3.34 | 1.22 | 153 | 41 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 11-11 | 3.86 | 1.25 | 149 | 47 |
Chen has been surprisingly reliable the past two seasons, and gains some upside with the move to Miami; he's an underrated SP6.
63. Jason Hammel, Chicago Cubs
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 10-11 | 3.47 | 1.12 | 158 | 44 |
2015 | 10-7 | 3.74 | 1.16 | 172 | 40 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 10-9 | 3.99 | 1.24 | 150 | 53 |
While Hammel saw a K/9 jump last season, everything else was rather ordinary; he's in the SP6 conversation, but only if his strikeout rate holds.
64. Mike Leake, St. Louis Cardinals
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 11-13 | 3.70 | 1.25 | 164 | 50 |
2015 | 11-10 | 3.70 | 1.16 | 119 | 49 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 12-9 | 3.75 | 1.18 | 135 | 47 |
Leake should see most of his statistics remain level, but he simply doesn't strike out enough batters to warrant more than SP6 consideration.
65. Aaron Sanchez, Toronto Blue Jays
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 2-2 | 1.09 | 0.70 | 27 | 9 |
2015 | 7-6 | 3.22 | 1.28 | 61 | 44 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 12-9 | 4.05 | 1.33 | 148 | 71 |
If Sanchez moves to the Toronto rotation, he'll be one of the most high-risk, high-reward picks among pitchers taken in the back end of standard drafts.
66. Trevor Bauer, Cleveland Indians
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 5-8 | 4.18 | 1.38 | 143 | 60 |
2015 | 11-12 | 4.55 | 1.31 | 170 | 79 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 12-10 | 4.01 | 1.27 | 179 | 78 |
He's a wild one, but Bauer's strikeout potential is undeniable. Expect enough improvement in his BB/9 rate to make him a viable SP6-7.
67. Kevin Gausman, Baltimore Orioles
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 7-7 | 3.57 | 1.32 | 88 | 38 |
2015 | 4-7 | 4.25 | 1.23 | 103 | 29 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 12-9 | 4.12 | 1.19 | 148 | 47 |
If he can cut down on home runs allowed, Gausman should be a nice sleeper option at the back end of standard fantasy drafts.
68. Aaron Nola, Philadelphia Phillies
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
2015 | 6-2 | 3.59 | 1.20 | 68 | 19 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 10-12 | 4.15 | 1.24 | 158 | 56 |
Nola has a bright future, though that it may not come to fruition in 2016; he's a nice speculative pick, but owners should expect a few bumps along the way.
69. Andrew Heaney, Los Angeles Angels
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 0-4 | 5.83 | 1.33 | 20 | 7 |
2015 | 6-4 | 3.49 | 1.20 | 78 | 28 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 11-10 | 3.82 | 1.23 | 124 | 57 |
Heaney should provide owners with decent ERA and WHIP, but his strikeout rates have been unflattering - and that cripples his overall value.
70. Edinson Volquez, Kansas City Royals
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 13-7 | 3.04 | 1.23 | 140 | 71 |
2015 | 13-9 | 3.55 | 1.31 | 155 | 72 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 13-10 | 4.05 | 1.34 | 152 | 81 |
Volquez is effectively wild, but sooner or later the walks, HBPs and wild pitches will catch up with him. His low K rate makes him an SP7.
71. Jimmy Nelson, Milwaukee Brewers
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 2-9 | 4.93 | 1.46 | 57 | 19 |
2015 | 11-13 | 4.11 | 1.29 | 148 | 65 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 10-12 | 4.13 | 1.29 | 157 | 69 |
Nelson will struggle to record double-digit victories on this team, but should strike out enough hitters to be considered at the end of mixed-league drafts.
72. Eduardo Rodriguez, Boston Red Sox
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
2015 | 10-6 | 3.85 | 1.29 | 98 | 37 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 12-10 | 4.17 | 1.28 | 131 | 54 |
Rodriguez had a decent rookie campaign, but a low K rate reduces his value. He has upside, but don't reach higher than your SP7 slot for him.
73. Anthony DeSclafani, Cincinnati Reds
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 2-2 | 6.27 | 1.36 | 26 | 5 |
2015 | 9-13 | 4.05 | 1.35 | 151 | 55 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 10-12 | 4.07 | 1.33 | 157 | 56 |
DeSclafani becomes the Reds' No. 2 starter, and should work enough innings - and make enough progress - to be a solid SP7 in standard drafts.
74. Anibal Sanchez, Detroit Tigers
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 8-5 | 3.43 | 1.10 | 102 | 30 |
2015 | 10-10 | 4.99 | 1.28 | 138 | 49 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 11-10 | 4.20 | 1.22 | 130 | 44 |
Sanchez might not lead the American League in home runs allowed again, but his best days are clearly behind him. Draft him as a matchups-only SP7.
75. Rich Hill, Oakland Athletics
SEASON | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 0-0 | 3.38 | 2.44 | 9 | 6 |
2015 | 2-1 | 1.55 | 0.66 | 36 | 5 |
2016 (PROJ.) | 9-11 | 4.30 | 1.34 | 110 | 46 |
Hill could finish as the SP30, or as the SP130. His range of outcomes is wider than anyone's. Feeling lucky? Take a shot with one of your final three picks.