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Starting Allen Robinson will cost you a fantasy title

Richard Dole / USA TODAY Sports

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If you're one of the fantasy football owners to secure a spot in the postseason despite having to lean on disappointing Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Allen Robinson, congratulations! Clearly, You have used a combination of strong drafting (Robinson aside, of course) and savvy waiver play to build a solid roster that is the envy of your fellow managers.

Now, do yourself a favor and stick Robinson on your bench.

Robinson comes into Week 13 as one of the biggest non-injury letdowns of the fantasy season, alongside Los Angeles Rams running back Todd Gurley and Robinson's own quarterback, Blake Bortles. His 53 catches for 591 yards and six touchdowns put him on pace to fall well short of the 80/1,400/14 line he posted en route to a breakout 2015 campaign.

That nice round stat line moved him into the upper echelon of fantasy receivers, making him a popular pick in the late-first or early-second rounds of the majority of fantasy drafts. And yet, he'll enter December ranked a miserable 21st in standard scoring at his position, behind such undrafted players as Rishard Matthews and Tyrell Williams.

Yes, Robinson remains one of the ten most targeted receivers in the game. Yes, he has six scores, including a touchdown in three straight games prior to last Sunday's two-catch, 24-yard performance against the Buffalo Bills. And yes, he remains the focal point of a passing offense featuring a QB coming off a 35-touchdown campaign.

But don't be fooled. All those targets don't mean a thing when he's catching just half of them. The passing touchdowns have been less frequent and more spread out this year than last, negating Robinson's value even further. And with Bortles looking disastrous this season, Robinson has been significantly impacted, as many of those missed targets have been terrible throws.

There's also the Jaguars' upcoming schedule, which should make this whole bench-Robinson-right-now strategy a lot easier for owners to swallow. Listed below are Jacksonville's next three opponents, along with fantasy points allowed per game to wide receivers and league rank in that category:

WEEK OPP FPA/G RANK
13 vs. DEN 14.13 1
14 vs. MIN 16.45 2
15 at HOU 18.58 3

Poor, poor Allen.

It's clear that Robinson has an uphill climb in his quest to reach WR1 status this season; here's betting he doesn't come close. Not only does he face the top three fantasy defenses in consecutive weeks, none of those teams is so prolific that Jacksonville is sure to find itself on the wrong end of a blowout. So don't expect to see much garbage time stat-padding.

But here's the thing: It takes a tremendous amount of moxie to be willing to bench the guy you either used a high draft pick on, or surrendered draft capital to acquire. And that's understandable - but when it comes to advancing in the fantasy football postseason, no player should be considered unbenchable - even those considered WR1s entering the season.

Here's a list of three wide receivers you might consider picking up and starting ahead of Robinson over the next three weeks (Week 13-15 schedule in parentheses):

  • Tyreek Hill, Chiefs (at ATL, vs. OAK, vs. TEN): Hill burst into the fantasy news with three touchdowns in Week 12, and is owned in just 36 percent of Yahoo! fantasy leagues. Expect that number to double this week, and with good reason: His upcoming schedule has some great matchups, making him the waiver wire pickup du jour.
  • Tyler Boyd, Bengals (vs. PHI, at CLE, vs. PIT): Boyd looked solid in his first game as a starter in place of the injured A.J. Green, turning nine targets into 62 yards and a score against a tough Baltimore defense. Things soften up considerably moving forward, with two home dates and a road showdown against winless Cleveland.
  • Quincy Enunwa, Jets (vs. IND, at SF, vs. MIA): Two out of three ain't bad. While Enunwa could struggle against a formidable Miami defense, he's a terrific option in a Week 13 home matchup against the Colts and a Week 14 encounter with the lowly 49ers in San Francisco. He also has the same number of TDs over the past five weeks as Robinson.

You might decide to pass on the above suggestions and just roll with Robinson for better or worse. And who knows? Maybe he'll overcome his brutal upcoming matchups and thrive. Or perhaps your fantasy team will prevail despite his struggles. But there's an equally good chance he'll fall flat on his face, torching your chances of a fantasy title in the process.

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