Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua bets: Will we get a KO?
Jake Paul faces the biggest challenge of his boxing career Friday when he takes on former unified heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua in an eight-round professional bout at Kaseya Center in Miami.
Tale of the tape
| Paul | Joshua | |
|---|---|---|
| Country | USA | England |
| Age | 28 | 36 |
| Height | 6-1 | 6-6 |
| Reach | 76 in | 82 in |
| Record | 12-1 | 28-4 |
| KOs | 7 | 25 |
The odds heavily favor Joshua to defeat Paul, courtesy of theScore Bet.
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jake Paul | +600 |
| Anthony Joshua | -950 |
👉 Check out all markets available for Friday Night's boxing card on theScore Bet here
So, where's the value in this fight? Here are some bets to consider.
🥊 Bet: Joshua wins by KO/TKO/DQ (-350)
The biggest question about Friday's main event is whether Joshua plans to take it seriously or go easy on Paul. Anything is possible after Paul admitted he didn't go for the knockout in his 2024 fight with Mike Tyson and Floyd Mayweather Jr. carried Conor McGregor in the early rounds of their 2017 blockbuster.
But if this fight is 100% real and legitimate, Joshua knocks Paul out. Probably quickly. The massive size difference and skill gap make this one of the biggest mismatches in boxing history. Some believe Paul and Joshua have a gentleman's agreement to go the distance - or at least make it to the later rounds - and essentially engage in a glorified sparring match. But it won't be a good look for Joshua if he doesn't stop Paul given he's a top-10 heavyweight and Paul is a former YouTuber who has mostly faced MMA fighters and influencers.
If Joshua takes it easy on Paul, that could ruin his reputation and kibosh a planned 2026 fight with fellow ex-heavyweight champ Tyson Fury. It's unlikely he would risk that.
🥊 Bet: Fight goes under 4.5 rounds (-225)
Again, this will come down to how seriously Joshua takes the fight. Considering he knocked out former UFC heavyweight champion Francis Ngannou in the second round of their March 2024 tilt, he should have no problem putting away Paul in under 4.5 rounds.
🥊 Bet: Joshua wins in Round 1 (+350), Round 2 (+400), Round 3 (+550), or Round 4 (+750)
It's tough to find a viable plus-money bet on Joshua since he's a -950 favorite (90.5% implied probability). But if you're looking to make a few dart throws, there are pretty attractive prices on Joshua winning in any of the first four rounds.
👉 Check out all markets available for Friday Night's boxing card on theScore Bet here
Main card (8 p.m. ET, Netflix)
- Anthony Joshua (-950) vs. Jake Paul (+600)
- Alycia Baumgardner (-1400) vs. Leila Beaudoin (+750)
- Anderson Silva (-340) vs. Tyron Woodley (+250)
- Jahmal Harvey (-10000) vs. Kevin Cervantes (+1800)
Preliminary card (4:45 p.m. ET, YouTube)
- Cherneka Johnson (-900) vs. Amanda Galle (+550)
- Caroline Dubois (-4000) vs. Camilla Panatta (+1400)
- Yokasta Valle (-1400) vs. Yadira Bustillos (+750)
- Avious Griffin (-650) vs. Justin Cardona (+450)
- Keno Marley (TBD) vs. Diarra Davis Jr. (TBD)
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