MLB plays of the day: Ride Indians' bats vs. Boyd

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We snapped a cold spell with Walker Buehler's dominant performance Friday, though Aaron Nola's dreadful third inning kept us from a perfect day. Here are our favorite bets on Saturday's card.

Detroit Tigers (+150) at Cleveland Indians (-170)

Starting pitchers: Matthew Boyd (0-3, 9.64 ERA) vs. Triston McKenzie (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

This is a clash between two seemingly unstoppable forces: the Indians' prolific under run and Boyd's general incompetence. Given the Tigers ace's struggles, we can't help but like the over.

Boyd's last start (four innings, three earned runs) was somehow his best of the season despite allowing back-to-back homers to open the game. He simply can't keep the ball in the park; through five starts, he's allowed eight home runs, tied for third-most in MLB. That's resulted in the worst ERA and third-worst FIP (6.85) of anyone with at least 20 innings pitched.

The Indians' struggles on offense are well-documented this season, but they've averaged 5.7 runs during their last seven games, including four against Detroit. Their offense has been patient all year, ranking in the top five in walk rate and strikeout rate, though a lack of power has resulted in subpar results. Hitting against Boyd should fix that.

Cleveland trots out 23-year-old McKenzie, who has the pedigree but hasn't made it past five innings in intrasquad play or even pitched competitively in more than two years. His inexperience is a big reason why this total is in double digits, which should intrigue bettors. The over is 17-6-2 in the last 25 games with a total of 10 or higher.

Pick: Over 10 (even)

Arizona Diamondbacks (-170) at San Francisco Giants (+150)

Starting pitchers: Zac Gallen (0-0, 2.40 ERA) vs. Tyler Anderson (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Name a better duo than Gallen and the under. The Diamondbacks' rising star had one of the best starts of his young career last time out when he allowed just three hits with eight strikeouts through seven innings versus the Oakland Athletics. It was the 17th time in 20 starts that he's gone at least five innings, and he's never allowed more than three runs during his career.

The under is 15-3-2 (83.3%) when Gallen toes the rubber. The Giants' bats have been hot lately, but much of that has come against inferior pitching. This lineup still ranks in the lower half of the league in most expected batting metrics, so don't let that spoil your enthusiasm for another Gallen under.

Anderson, however, got shelled in his last two starts against the Los Angeles Angels and Houston Astros. The Diamondbacks' offense is nowhere near the caliber of those two, though, as evidenced by a combined four runs in its last three games. This should stay safely below the number.

Pick: Under 9 (-115)

(Odds source: theScore Bet)

C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.