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Expect fantasy upheaval while Raptors' stars adjust to life with Serge Ibaka

Mark D. Smith / USA TODAY Sports

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Here are he fantasy implications following the news of the Toronto Raptors acquiring PF/C Serge Ibaka from the Orlando Magic in return for SG/SF Terrence Ross:

This is a game-changer for the Raptors' rotation. Ibaka fills a much-needed role on both ends of the floor as a floor-spacer and rim-protector, an addition that sends ripples through the frontcourt and impacts the production of all-star backcourt duo PG Kyle Lowry and SG DeMar DeRozan.

Lowry, DeRozan and C Jonas Valanciunas will see their per-game production wane for now. Don't alter your strategy if you own any of these players but you have to account for decreased scoring from the guards and decreased rebounding (and double-double potential) from Valanciunas.

And of course, Ibaka's rest of season fantasy outlook loses predictability. The Magic had tailored their lineup in an effort to get the most out of his skillset in hopes he would be a franchise cornerstone. He simply won't be afforded the same scoring opportunities in Toronto.

Ibaka had been ranked 47th overall in our most recent rest of season rankings, but an adjustment period has to be expected as he acclimatizes to his surroundings. Value him in the 80-to-100 range, rest of season.

There are still going to be shots to go around for Ibaka. The out-going Ross accounted for 8.9 shots per game, while PF Patrick Patterson, SF DeMarre Carroll, PF Jared Sullinger and C Lucas Nogueira have all seen playing time (and shots) from the power forward position. None of these players registered as anything more than streaming options, so this trade just moves each player closer to the fringe.

The best-case scenario for Ibaka is a line approaching 14 points, eight rebounds, two blocks and one 3-pointer per game. He has slightly more value in category-based leagues because of his defensive production, though the days of averaging more than three blocks per game are probably long gone. The worst-case scenario is closer to 10-and-8 with 1.5 blocks per game.

If you find a willing trade partner who believes this move will unlock incredible production from Ibaka, take advantage of their misplaced excitement and net a top-75 talent in return. It's more valuable to have the safety of Boston Celtics SF Jae Crowder, Houston Rockets SF Trevor Ariza or Dallas Mavericks SF Harrison Barnes this late in the season than the unproven upside of Ibaka in an unfamiliar environment.

As far as Ross goes, his value doesn't change much. While leaving the shadow of Lowry and DeRozan's usage behind is a plus for his personal fantasy output, the Magic also have mouths to feed in the backcourt and on the wing, including PG Elfrid Payton, SG Evan Fournier and former hot prospect SG Mario Hezonja.

If anything, the biggest gains on the Orlando side of the trade will be seen in the frontcourt, especially with F Aaron Gordon. Gordon proved he doesn't currently have the range to log significant minutes at small forward. Moving Ibaka opens up more playing time for Gordon at the four, alongside Cs Nikola Vucevic and Bismack Biyombo.

Gordon averaged 6.5 rebounds in just under 24 minutes per game last season -- a rate of 9.8 per 36 minutes. If he can continue to develop his scoring profile while seeing more opportunities to corral rebounds, he would very well average a 14-10-2 line from here on out. Gordon's always had promising physical tools; now he has the opportunity to put them on display consisten.

(Photos courtesy: Action Images)

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