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Summer League MVP odds: Is Keyonte George running away with it?

Bart Young / National Basketball Association / Getty

With the final days of Vegas Summer League upon us, the favorites for Summer League MVP are seemingly clear.

While they aren't necessarily marquee names - Victor Wembanyama and Jabari Smith Jr. are essentially disqualified as they'll each only play in two of the four games - these players have consistently outperformed the competition throughout the week.

Summer League MVP Odds

Player Odds
Keyonte George +200
Cam Whitmore +500
Sharife Cooper +1000
Julian Champagnie +1200
Jaden Hardy +1200
Emoni Bates +1200
Terquavion Smith +1500
Cason Wallace +1500

The Summer League MVP market is volatile. Each of the four games is crucial for a player's standing as an MVP candidate. As a result, there's been a lot of movement across the board in the last few days.

Keyonte George remains the favorite. He was +550 on Tuesday but is now +200 without having played a game due to inconsistent performances from top candidates. The 2023 No. 16 overall pick is averaging 29.5 points and 8.5 assists in two games, leading the Jazz to a 2-0 record. His 3-point shooting has been as hot as the scorching desert heat in Vegas.

However, in a market this unstable, there's little value on anyone at +200. One great performance can catapult someone to the top of the board, and one bad showing can sink them.

Finding value is about predicting a player's performance based on circumstance. Cam Whitmore has the second-best odds at +500 to win, considerably shorter than Tuesday when he was +1400.

Whitmore has been a steady performer throughout the week but is now the beneficiary of Smith and Tari Eason's absences, as they were both shut down after dominating the first two contests. The rookie is averaging 17 points in the Rockets' three games - all wins - including 16 points in his first contest without Smith and Eason.

Two Cavaliers teammates are making noise in Vegas. Sharife Cooper and Emoni Bates are +1000 and +1200 to win, respectively, while leading the Cavs to a 3-0 record.

Despite Cooper having shorter odds, Bates has been the more consistent player. The 2023 second-rounder is averaging 16.3 points in three games. Cooper came out with a splash, pouring in 27 points in the opener, but the 2021 second-rounder followed that up with consecutive eight-point games.

It'd be surprising if Cooper's inconsistency was rewarded instead of Bates' steadiness.

Julian Champagnie and Jaden Hardy are tied for the fourth-best odds at +1200. Champagnie shined despite playing in the shadow of Wembanyama in the first two games. In his first game without Wembanyama, the St. Johns product scored 18 points, grabbed eight rebounds, and dished out seven assists. Meanwhile, Hardy has 24 points in each of his two contests.

Chet Holmgren had two solid performances but sat out Tuesday night's game, leading to an increase in his odds from +1100 to +1800. His absence wasn't injury-related, so he'll be available Wednesday in the second half of a back-to-back.

Holmgren's teammate, Cason Wallace, is near the top of the board. His play has catapulted him into an MVP contender but has also substantially shortened his Rookie of the Year odds from +6000 before Summer League started to +4000.

Again, one performance can influence a player's odds dramatically. Marjon Beauchamp, for example, was tied for the second-best odds at +1100 before he finished with zero points in 23 minutes Tuesday night. The next morning, he was +1800.

With three days before the Summer League playoffs start and every player having at least one more game, get ready for a lot of movement.

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