Evaluating the Top 30 NHL Fantasy Players by ADP - Part 2

Players don't always live up to their average draft position (ADP) - injuries, poor team performance or just plain bad luck can affect fantasy fortunes.

We've already looked at how the top 15 fantasy players in terms of preseason ADP ultimately finished up in standard-scoring leagues; we now conclude with Nos. 16-30 (ADP courtesy FantasyPros; rank courtesy Yahoo! Sports):

D P.K. Subban, Canadiens

A neck injury ended Subban's season after 68 games; had he stayed healthy, he would have had a shot at matching his career high of 60 points. His 3.4 per cent shooting rate helps to explain his career-low six goals; he shot 8.8 per cent while scoring 15 times in 2014-15. He's likely to be eclipsed by Brent Burns in terms of ADP, but should still be a top-3 defenseman on draft day.

LW Rick Nash, Rangers

Nash's up-and-down Rangers tenure stayed true to form; after a career-best 42 goals in 2014-15, Nash recorded a career-low 15 in an injury-riddled campaign. An 8.2 per cent shooting rate, the lowest of any of his 13 seasons, let him down somewhat, and he averaged just over three shots per game, so signs of life were there. Still, the days of Nash as an early draft pick are over.

C Ryan Getzlaf, Ducks

For the second time in five seasons, Getzlaf posted a shooting rate well below his career mark of 11.9 per cent; unsurprisingly, his 13 goals were his fewest since 2011-12. The 30-year-old reliably racks up assists and doesn't miss more than a handful of games per season, and his numbers survived a team-wide first-half scoring slump. His ADP will likely creep into the twenties.

G Pekka Rinne, Predators

As the third goaltender drafted behind Carey Price and Henrik Lundqvist, Rinne started 66 games and ranked ninth with 34 wins. Unlike Price, he avoided injuries, but like Lundqvist, his peripheral stats left much to be desired. Rinne looks like Nashville's unquestioned starter heading into next season, but his fantasy stock has dipped, and his ADP is sure to drop.

LW Jakub Voracek, Flyers

Voracek can blame a career-low 5.2 percent shooting rate for his goal-scoring woes. After notching 11 power-play goals in 2014-15, the Czech native was held to only one this season, though he did have 22 assists with the man advantage. Still just 26 and having largely avoided injuries throughout his career, Voracek is a prime rebound candidate and a potential draft steal.

C Jonathan Toews, Blackhawks

Toews recorded the lowest point total of any season in which he played at least 80 games. His nine power-play points paled in comparison to his production in recent seasons. Considering Toews has never topped 76 points in any season, his ADP is likely to decline drastically, though he's still a reasonably safe selection relative to other picks in his draft range.

G Ben Bishop, Lightning

Bishop started 60 games for the third consecutive season, and recorded career bests in GAA and save percentage, which ranked first and second, respectively, among qualified leaders. Backup Andrei Vasilevskiy started 21 games, and could conceivably further eat into his workload, but Bishop's still a safe choice in goal as long as his ADP doesn't rise dramatically.

G Braden Holtby, Capitals

Holtby's 48 wins tied the NHL's regular season record and were eight more than any other goaltender. The Capitals' regular season dominance resulted in Holtby being rested more frequently down the stretch; he started 66 games as opposed to the 72 he did in 2014-15. He's a solid bet to rack up the wins once again, and should be one of the top two goalies taken.

C Joe Pavelski, Sharks

A bargain based on his ADP, Pavelski had his third straight season of at least 37 goals and 70 points. Power-play time has been a huge contributing factor, as he recorded between 28 and 31 points with the man advantage in each of those seasons. His ADP will likely rise due to the fact that he's been more productive than several of the names above him.

G Marc-Andre Fleury, Penguins

Two separate concussions limited Fleury to 58 starts, though he still managed 35 wins and five shutouts with solid rate stats. The emergence of 21-year-old Matt Murray casts some doubt on Fleury's future, though Pittsburgh may be reluctant to hand the reins over to Murray just yet. Fleury's ADP will drop, but he's still a safe bet behind what should again be a very good Penguins team.

C Ryan Johansen, Predators

Johansen registered 26 points in 38 games in Columbus before moving on to Nashville, where had 34 points in 42 games. His 14 goals were well down from the 33 and 26, respectively, he'd managed in the two seasons prior, but his shooting percentage was below his career mark of 10.8 per cent. His ADP may drop slightly due to the lack of goals, but he'll still rack up points.

C Tyler Johnson, Lightning

After a 72-point breakout in 2014-15, Johnson's numbers cratered; he also missed 13 games. His 8.4 per cent shooting rate was well below his 12.5 per cent career mark, but he also had 19 fewer assists than the year before. A strong postseason has helped his stock rebound somewhat, but he's still far too risky for his ADP to remain this high heading into next season.

G Jonathan Quick, Kings

Despite somewhat middling peripheral stats, Quick outperformed his ADP thanks to his league-high 68 starts; his 40 wins were second only to Holtby. As long as the Kings retain their trademark stinginess (only Anaheim and Washington conceded fewer goals), Quick's workhorse mentality makes him one of the safest fantasy goaltender options.

D Dustin Byfuglien, Jets

Byfuglien's third straight season of at least 18 goals and 45 points resulted in him outperforming his ADP; like Subban, he'll likely be surpassed by Burns heading into next year. Among defensemen, only Burns and Erik Karlsson had more shots than Byfuglien's 247, and Byfuglien also had at least 119 penalty minutes for the second straight year. He'll be a bargain if his ADP dips slightly.

G Tuukka Rask, Bruins

The Bruins had a disappointing year, failing to make the playoffs, and Rask posted the lowest GAA and save percentage marks of any of his four full seasons as the team's number one netminder. Still just 29 and seemingly in his prime, Rask could rebound, but he certainly won't be drafted as highly heading into 2016-17.