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How can Argentina still advance in Group D?

KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV / AFP / Getty

It's not looking good for Argentina.

Lionel Messi and company could make a quick World Cup exit thanks to a disastrous 3-0 loss to Croatia on Thursday. After two group-stage matches, La Albiceleste sits third with only a single, disappointing point.

The outcome of Friday's match between Nigeria and Iceland will play a major role in whether Jorge Sampaoli's men can secure a spot in the round of 16 before they face the Super Eagles in their final group-stage match on June 26.

So, what has to happen to guarantee Argentina's safety? Here's how it breaks down:

If Iceland defeats Nigeria

Group D heading into final Matchday:

Team MP PTS GD
1 Croatia 2 6 +5
2 Iceland 2 4 +1 (or higher)
3 Argentina 2 1 -3
4 Nigeria 2 0 -3 (or lower)
  • Argentina must defeat Nigeria
  • Croatia must defeat Iceland
  • Argentina needs to erase a minimum four-goal gap in goal differential with Iceland

If Iceland and Nigeria draw

Group D heading into final Matchday:

Team MP PTS GD
1 Croatia 2 6 +5
2 Iceland 2 2 0
3 Nigeria 2 1 -2
4 Argentina 2 1 -3
  • Argentina must defeat Nigeria
  • Croatia must avoid defeat against Iceland

If Nigeria defeats Iceland

Group D heading into final Matchday:

Team MP PTS GD
1 Croatia 2 6 +5
2 Nigeria 2 3 -1 (or higher)
3 Iceland 2 1 -1 (or lower)
4 Argentina 2 1 -3
  • Argentina must defeat Nigeria
  • Croatia must avoid defeat against Iceland

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