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Fantasy: 2019 Projections - Mayfield, Beckham a perfect pairing for Browns?

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Get ready for your season with theScore's 2019 Fantasy Football Draft Kit and subscribe to push notifications in the NFL Fantasy News section.

With training camps approaching, theScore's Justin Boone is releasing his offensive projections for all 32 teams, including his thoughts on every fantasy-relevant player.

Projections are based on the following point values in PPR leagues:

  • Passing Yards: 1 point per 25 yards
  • Passing TDs: 4 points
  • Interceptions: -2 points
  • Rushing Yards: 1 point per 10 yards
  • Rushing TDs: 6 points
  • Receptions: 1 point
  • Receiving Yards: 1 point per 10 yards
  • Receiving TDs: 6 points
  • Fumbles Lost: -2 points
  • Two-point Conversions: 2 points

2019 Fantasy Projections

AFC East
NE | BUF | NYJ | MIA
AFC North
BAL | CIN | PIT | CLE
AFC South
JAX | IND | HOU | TEN
AFC West
DEN | KC | OAK | LAC
NFC East
DAL | PHI | NYG | WAS
NFC North
DET | GB | MIN | CHI
NFC South
ATL | NO | CAR | TB
NFC West
LAR | SF | SEA | ARI

Cleveland Browns

Baker Mayfield, QB

Fantasy Points 301.38
Attempts 564
Completions 361
Pass Yards 4407
Pass TDs 34
INTs 14
Carries 42
Rush Yards 151
Rush TDs 1
Fumbles Lost 3
2PT 1

Mayfield was a top-10 fantasy quarterback after Freddie Kitchens assumed control of the offense, and that was without Odell Beckham Jr. catching passes. He'll challenge for a spot in the top five while playing in one of the league's most exciting attacks as a sophomore.

Quarterback depth: The Browns have all of their chips on Mayfield. His likely backup, Drew Stanton, struggled in past starting stints and didn't inspire much confidence with his preseason performance a year ago. Let's hope Baker stays on the field for all 16 games.

Nick Chubb, RB

Fantasy Points 271.4
Carries 263
Rush Yards 1256
Rush TDs 10
Fumbles Lost 0
Targets 62
Receptions 39
Rec. Yards 268
Rec. TDs 3
2PT 1

Cleveland's decision to sit Chubb behind Carlos Hyde proved to be foolish. The rookie instantly emerged as a game-breaking ball-carrier after the veteran was traded, as Chubb had six games with at least 80 rushing yards in the second half of the season and finished with eight touchdowns. He accomplished the feat while facing eight or more defenders in the box at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL, according to Next Gen Stats. Mayfield's development and Beckham's arrival should back defenses off the line of scrimmage and allow Chubb to eat.

Running back depth: The concern surrounding Kareem Hunt's impact on Chubb's fantasy value has been overblown. Hunt won't be available until Week 10, due to his eight-game suspension and the Browns' bye week. Chubb will have solidified himself as a star in Cleveland's backfield by that point - if last season's performance didn't already do so. That makes Hunt a late-season handcuff in the event of a Chubb injury, nothing more. With Duke Johnson getting traded to the Houston Texans, Dontrell Hilliard is a very deep stash who'll serve as Chubb's early-season backup.

Odell Beckham Jr., WR

Fantasy Points 310.4
Targets 154
Receptions 97
Rec. Yards 1436
Rec. TDs 11
Carries 2
Rush Yards 18
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 0
2PT 0

Beckham played in only 12 games last season and still finished as a top-15 fantasy receiver. Though his 28 percent target share might not be replicated in Cleveland, the upgrade at quarterback gives OBJ a chance to rise to yet another level of elite play. Heightened efficiency and scoring opportunities could vault him over DeAndre Hopkins and Davante Adams as fantasy's No. 1 wideout.

Jarvis Landry, WR

Fantasy Points 188.8
Targets 106
Receptions 77
Rec. Yards 809
Rec. TDs 5
Carries 4
Rush Yards 29
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 1
2PT 0

The outlook for Landry isn't quite as rosy, aside from the fact that he'll once again be suiting up with his college teammate. The Browns miscast Landry last season as a No. 1 receiver and his 26 percent target share is certain to fall with Beckham's arrival. If you're searching for positives, Beckham's presence will draw away tough coverage and help Landry improve on his career-low 54.4 percent catch rate from 2018. He'll be a low-ceiling WR3 in fantasy, not the type of player you should be reaching for on draft day.

Antonio Callaway, WR

Fantasy Points 92.2
Targets 63
Receptions 34
Rec. Yards 482
Rec. TDs 2
Carries 0
Rush Yards 0
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 1
2PT 0

If it weren't for Beckham joining the party, Callaway may have been a breakout candidate in 2019. He overcame some early-season rookie mistakes to finish strong with 50 yards and/or a touchdown in six of the final nine contests. Behind Beckham and Landry, Callaway will be asked to serve as a field-stretcher, making him a DFS play and best-ball option only.

Receiver depth: Rashard Higgins would be the next man up in Cleveland if injuries were to sideline one of the starters. He isn't worth drafting, but keep him in mind as a potential in-season addition.

David Njoku, TE

Fantasy Points 146.6
Targets 83
Receptions 54
Rec. Yards 626
Rec. TDs 5
Carries 0
Rush Yards 0
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 0
2PT 0

In New York, Evan Engram's fantasy success was almost directly linked to whether Beckham was in the lineup or not. He eclipsed 75 yards in four of his 11 games, which coincided with the weeks Beckham wasn't on the field. Njoku has similar promise as a young tight end on the verge of a breakout, but his upside might be capped in a more crowded pass-catching corps. For Njoku to reach his fantasy ceiling and crack the upper half of the TE1 group, he'll need to do better than the five touchdowns we have him projected for.

Tight end depth: Demetrius Harris seemed destined to sign on as a team's starter in free agency but elected to become a member of the Browns instead. Now, he'll compete with Seth DeValve to be Njoku's backup.

2019 Fantasy Projections

AFC East
NE | BUF | NYJ | MIA
AFC North
BAL | CIN | PIT | CLE
AFC South
JAX | IND | HOU | TEN
AFC West
DEN | KC | OAK | LAC
NFC East
DAL | PHI | NYG | WAS
NFC North
DET | GB | MIN | CHI
NFC South
ATL | NO | CAR | TB
NFC West
LAR | SF | SEA | ARI

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