Super Bowl LV MVP odds: Which non-QB is the best bet?
It's not going to be easy finding value in the MVP market come Super Bowl LV.
In a quarterback-driven league, two of the best square off when Tom Brady's Buccaneers meet Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs. The pair of signal-callers unsurprisingly headline the odds to win Most Valuable Player.
Is there anyone else worth taking a flier on? Let's dive into the prices, trends, and who offers the best value.
Odds to win MVP
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | -105 |
| Tom Brady (TB) | +220 |
| Tyreek Hill (KC) | +1400 |
| Travis Kelce (KC) | +1500 |
| Leonard Fournette (TB) | +2600 |
| Chris Godwin (TB) | +3400 |
| Mike Evans (TB) | +3400 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) | +3700 |
| Shaquil Barrett (TB) | +5000 |
| Tyrann Mathieu (KC) | +5000 |
| Antonio Brown (TB) | +5500 |
| Ronald Jones (TB) | +5500 |
| Darrel Williams (KC) | +6500 |
| Rob Gronkowski (TB) | +8500 |
| Antoine Winfield Jr. (TB) | +10000 |
| Devin White (TB) | +10000 |
| Jason Pierre-Paul (TB) | +10000 |
| Jordan Whitehead (TB) | +10000 |
| Lavonte David (TB) | +10000 |
| Mecole Hardman (KC) | +10000 |
| Ndamukong Suh (TB) | +10000 |
| Sammy Watkins (KC) | +10000 |
| Willie Gay (KC) | +10000 |
Only displaying those with odds of 100-1 or shorter
Notes
- Quarterbacks have won three of the last four and eight of the previous 11 MVPs.
- Only two defensive players have won in the last 17 years.
- No cornerback has won since 1996.
- No tight end has ever won.
Buy - Tom Brady (+220)
Brady's lit it up in the last four Super Bowls, averaging a mind-bending 390.3 yards per game along with nine touchdown passes. Here, he's a three-point 'dog who has to match pace with a terrifying offense. Plus, it makes it tough for any skill player to break out with how balanced Tampa is offensively.
Brady's a nice play north of 2-1.
Sell - Rob Gronkowski (+8500)
Gronkowski's no stranger to the Super Bowl, appearing in four with the Patriots. He's had success in the big game - 23 catches, 297 yards, and three touchdowns - but has never taken home MVP. Now, Gronk's on a dry spell.
The first-year Buccaneer has been absent in the offensive game plan. He has just two catches across three postseason games after recording 45 during the regular season.
I don't mind picking a player who'll make an impact through the air considering the total points expected in this one (56), but there are far better options on the board, such as ...
Buy - Travis Kelce (+1500)
If there's one player who can absorb the volume to scoot past both quarterbacks for MVP, it's Kelce.
Tyreek Hill (12 catches, 236 yards, and three touchdowns) was the headliner when these two teams met in Week 12, but it's the star tight end's turn to steal the show.
He's been on a terror since then, registering double-digit catches and a touchdown in six straight. There's simply no way to cover Kelce, who's averaged 110.8 receiving yards per contest over that stretch.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.