Mahomes tops Barkley as Super Bowl MVP favorite
Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win the Super Bowl MVP now that the matchup between the Chiefs and Eagles is set.
Mahomes is +110 (47.6% implied probability) at theScore Bet/ESPN Bet to earn his fourth Super Bowl MVP award.
Kansas City is -130 (56.5% implied probability) to beat the Eagles on Feb. 9. The difference in Mahomes' odds to win MVP and the Chiefs' odds to win the Super Bowl suggest oddsmakers believe there's roughly a 10% chance someone other than Mahomes wins the award if Kansas City hoists the Lombardi Trophy.
Saquon Barkley is the second favorite to win Super Bowl MVP at +275 (26.7% implied probability). Barkley has dominated throughout the Eagles' playoff run, rushing for 442 yards and five touchdowns in three games.
Jalen Hurts is the next most likely MVP winner. The Eagles quarterback is +360 (21.7% implied probability) and the only other player priced below +1800.
Oddsmakers have identified Mahomes, Barkley, and Hurts as the most likely MVP winners by far. Their combined implied probability is 96%, making it highly unlikely that anyone outside this trio will win the award.
Super Bowl MVP odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +105 |
| Saquon Barkley | +275 |
| Jalen Hurts | +360 |
| Travis Kelce | +1800 |
| Xavier Worthy | +2500 |
| A.J. Brown | +3000 |
| Kareem Hunt | +5000 |
| Chris Jones | +6000 |
| DeVonta Smith | +6000 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +6000 |
| Marquise Brown | +6000 |
| Jalen Carter | +7500 |
| Dallas Goedert | +10000 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | +10000 |
| George Karlaftis | +10000 |
| Harrison Butker | +10000 |
| Jake Elliott | +10000 |
Players above +10000 are not listed.
Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, and A.J. Brown are the next three on the oddsboard. They'll try to join Cooper Kupp and Julian Edelman as pass-catchers to win MVP in the last 15 years.
Chiefs' defensive tackle Chris Jones has the shortest odds of any defensive player at +6000. Von Miller was the last defensive player to be voted Super Bowl MVP when the Broncos beat the Panthers in 2016.