Betting picks for every team total in Week 15
Here's a look at the team totals for all 32 teams playing in Week 15, along with our picks and confidence level:
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
Chargers team total: 23.5 points
Here's a fun fact about the Los Angeles Chargers: No other NFL team is taking off more time on the play clock per offensive snap this season. We'll also continue playing on the Kansas City Chiefs' defense, which is allowing 18.7 points per game at home.
Pick: Under (+100)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Chiefs team total: 29.5 points
The Chargers' defense is quietly improving as the season progresses, allowing more than 27 points just once over the previous 10 games. On paper, this could be a track meet between two high-powered offenses on a short week, but we don't see it.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Houston Texans at New York Jets
Texans team total: 24.5 points
The Houston Texans saw their nine-game winning streak snapped last weekend with a three-point loss to the Indianapolis Colts despite being four-point favorites. Expect them to get right back on track against a beleaguered New York Jets defense giving up 29.1 points per game at home in 2018.
Pick: Over (-110)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐
Jets team total: 16.5 points
The box score from last weekend's 27-23 win over the Buffalo Bills is a bit deceiving, as the Jets were unable to top 250 yards of total offense. It's still an inept - and banged-up - unit that will face the No. 2 defense in rushing yards allowed per play this season, meaning rookie quarterback Sam Darnold is going to need to make some plays - if he even features Saturday.
Pick: Under (-110)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐
Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos
Browns team total: 20.5 points
The Cleveland Browns' offense is pretty easy to read - it can capitalize against bad defenses but struggles against good ones. On the road against a competent Denver Broncos defense, we feel Cleveland's in for a long day.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Broncos team total: 23.5 points
The Broncos might boast the most average offense in the NFL, scoring between 20-24 points in more than half their games this season. It's essentially a toss-up on our end, with a slight lean to the under.
Pick: Under (-110)
Confidence Level: ⭐
Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons
Cardinals team total: 16.5 points
The Arizona Cardinals' offense is an absolute mess, with a revolving door of linemen to protect Josh Rosen and the season-ending setback to rookie receiver Christian Kirk hurting an already depleted skill corps. The Atlanta Falcons' defense has been ripped through countless times this season, but it finally gets a good matchup against an offense averaging a league-low 4.4 adjusted yards per play.
Pick: Under (-110)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Falcons team total: 27.5 points
The Falcons' attack has been anemic, as the team has scored 20 points or fewer in each of its last five games. Look for Arizona's No. 4 pass defense to rise to the occasion as Atlanta's already past the stage of throwing in the towel on the season.
Pick: Under (-125)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts
Cowboys team total: 22.5 points
The Colts figure to match up well against the Dallas Cowboys' offense and running back Ezekiel Elliott, as Indy is tied for fifth in the NFL in yards per rush allowed this season. Amari Cooper has been a great addition, but Dak Prescott shouldn't inject fear into any competent defense.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Colts team total: 24.5 points
Remember that short stretch in the middle of the season in which no team could stop Andrew Luck and the Colts' offense? Indianapolis is slowly coming back down to earth and now faces an elite defense that hasn't allowed an opponent to score more than 23 points since Week 8.
Pick: Under (-125)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills
Lions team total: 19.5 points
The Detroit Lions are slowly but surely morphing into one of the league's offensive eyesores, averaging 16.2 points per game over the previous six games. This isn't a good matchup to get on track, either, as the Buffalo Bills are third in the NFL in yards allowed per play.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Bills team total: 20.5 points
Make the Bills' offense fun again. Josh Allen: dual-threat quarterback.
Pick: Over (-110)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
Packers team total: 19.5 points
As great as the Chicago Bears' defense has played this season, this might be the perfect price to buy on the Green Bay Packers' offense. Also, this is Aaron Rodgers against the Bears. It'd be a mortal sin to take the under.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Bears team total: 26.5 points
We expect Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears' offense to bounce back following a poor showing in last weekend's win over the Los Angeles Rams. This is still a unit that has shown up at home this season and will line up against a Packers' defense that hasn't traveled well as of late.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings
Dolphins team total: 17.5 points
Speaking of teams that don't travel well, the Miami Dolphins have covered just two of their previous 11 road games. The Dolphins have hit the team total under the last six times playing as visitors coming off a divisional game. The "Miami Miracle" in Week 14? Still unbelievable.
Pick: Under (-138)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Vikings team total: 26.5 points
With a new offensive coordinator and Kirk Cousins catching flak for bottoming out on the national stage (again), expect the Minnesota Vikings to compensate for the Week 14 dumpster fire.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Oakland Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals
Raiders team total: 21.5 points
The Oakland Raiders' offense might be a bit undervalued as of late, averaging 24.3 points per game over the previous four despite facing three teams currently ranked in the top six in yards allowed per play. Now it gets the league's worst scoring defense at this price? Sign us up for more points.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Bengals team total: 23.5 points
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Jeff Driskel really relied on the running game in his second career start last weekend, letting Joe Mixon churn out 111 yards on 26 carries. There will likely be another heavy workload for the backfield against Oakland's 31st-ranked rush defense, which should help set up the pass against a front seven still last in the league in sacks.
Pick: Over (-125)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens
Buccaneers team total: 18.5 points
A turnover-prone Jameis Winston against the No. 1 scoring defense doesn't feel like the greatest recipe for success for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The only way the Bucs reach the total is via some consolation points in garbage time, but we aren't banking on it.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐
Ravens team total: 27.5 points
We'll go back to the well and play against Tampa's defense, which is allowing 39.6 points per game on the road and nearly half that number at home.
Pick: Over (-125)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Tennessee Titans at New York Giants
Titans team total: 20.5 points
The toughest part of the week is figuring out which version of the Tennessee Titans' offense will show up. Against a New York Giants defense allowing more than four touchdowns at home this season, the roulette has apparently landed on over.
Pick: Over (+100)
Confidence Level: ⭐
Giants team total: 23.5 points
The Giants' offense is suddenly in a late-season groove, averaging 31.4 points per game over the previous five. Saquon Barkley was a great pickup with the No. 2 overall pick, don't let anyone convince you otherwise.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐
Washington Redskins at Jacksonville Jaguars
Redskins team total: 13.5 points
Whether or not Josh Johnson is under center, it would be a crime to pass up a professional football team's point total this low.
Pick: Over (+100)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐
Jaguars team total: 22.5 points
It's not a massive sample size, but the Jacksonville Jaguars are averaging fewer than 4 yards per play with Cody Kessler taking snaps. That's not ideal.
Pick: Under (-110)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers
Seahawks team total: 24.5 points
Expect the San Francisco 49ers' defense to show up at home after allowing 43 to the Seattle Seahawks a mere two weeks ago.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
49ers team total: 18.5 points
Nick Mullens' performances at home have been markedly better, and he gets another shot at a defense that's been praised perhaps a bit too much for its efforts over the previous month.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers
Patriots team total: 26.5 points
Were we one week early on our hot take that the New England Patriots' offense was a no-show away from Foxboro? Obviously, as they flew over the total against Miami. Still, give us the Pittsburgh Steelers' defense in a must-win spot.
Pick: Under (-110)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐
Steelers team total: 25.5 points
Leave it to the Dolphins of all teams to expose the Patriots' secondary. There are some glaring weaknesses that Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers' offense should take advantage of.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams
Eagles team total: 20.5
You're not doing this again, Nick Foles.
Pick: Under (+100)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Rams team total: 32.5
We actually feel bad for an injury-riddled Philadelphia Eagles defense against a Rams offense coming off the most disappointing performance of the season. There is literal sympathy to the city of Philadelphia for what will occur in L.A. on Sunday night.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers
Saints team total: 29.5
No, the New Orleans Saints' offense shouldn't be pasted on the back of a milk carton just yet. The Saints have hit the team total over in five of the previous six matchups against the Carolina Panthers and Drew Brees might be in for a huge night with the MVP race on the line.
Pick: Over (-125)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐ ⭐
Panthers team total: 22.5
The Panthers' offense has seemingly waved the white flag. It's always the year somewhere in the middle of the season for this franchise until Cam Newton is taking sacks to put the offense out of field-goal position or heaving darts into the stands when the Panthers are inside the 10-yard line. Stick a fork in 'em.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: ⭐ ⭐
Alex Kolodziej is theScore's betting writer. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 11 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AlexKoIodziej.