Super Bowl odds update: Eagles, Texans sinking after losses
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Prior to Week 11, the Philadelphia Eagles and Houston Texans were two of the trendier Super Bowl contenders, with both teams' odds shortening in each of the previous three weeks.
After letdown losses on Sunday, futures bettors may want their money back.
Let's start with the Eagles, who were 40-1 a few weeks ago, but they entered Week 11 at 25-1 after beating the Bills and Bears before their bye. Sunday's loss sapped any momentum from that stretch when Philadelphia was held scoreless in the second half of a 17-10 home loss to New England.
Now the Eagles are 60-1, which is probably appropriate for a club that can't develop its identity offensively and possesses one of the leakier defenses among contenders. If you liked Philly before Sunday, the squad's current odds actually offer stellar value for a roster this talented. The bigger question: Should you still be backing Philly after several poor performances against good teams?
That brings us to Houston, which laid a massive egg against the Ravens to shift its odds from 20-1 to 40-1. The latter price is much closer to what the Texans should have been at before Sunday due to their inconsistent offensive line and dearth of healthy defensive talent.
Houston has to regroup for a Thursday game against Indy - which beat the Texans four weeks ago - and a contest against New England a week later, so the team's odds could get even longer in early December. If you're buying a Texans renaissance, you should invest in a Deshaun Watson MVP ticket, too, because that's likely what it will take for Houston to stay in contention.
Here's how the rest of the Super Bowl oddsboard is shaping up ahead of Week 12, with a few other notable movements among possible contenders:
Odds 100-1 or shorter
TEAM | ODDS |
---|---|
Patriots | 11-4 |
Saints | 4-1 |
Ravens | 9-2 |
49ers | 8-1 |
Chiefs | 10-1 |
Packers | 12-1 |
Vikings | 14-1 |
Seahawks | 16-1 |
Cowboys | 20-1 |
Texans | 40-1 |
Raiders | 50-1 |
Rams | 50-1 |
Colts | 60-1 |
Eagles | 60-1 |
Bills | 80-1 |
Browns | 100-1 |
Chargers | 100-1 |
Panthers | 100-1 |
Steelers | 100-1 |
Baltimore Ravens (6-1 to 9-2)
Baltimore's hype train keeps chugging along after Sunday's drubbing of Houston, which extends a six-game winning streak that includes victories over the Steelers, Bengals (twice), Seahawks, Patriots, and now the Texans.
The team's offense has been productive, and the Ravens' reinvented defense - especially the secondary - looks legit after erasing one of the best passing attacks in the league in Week 11.
If the Ravens steal the AFC's No. 1 seed from New England, they could still be a value play, even at short odds.
New Orleans Saints (9-2 to 4-1)
The Saints' odds briefly dipped after last week's stunning loss to the Falcons, but New Orleans is back to 4-1 due to its loaded offense, and a stout defense that ranks seventh in PFF grades and third against the run.
New Orleans will enjoy two more NFC South games before hosting San Francisco on Dec. 8. Buying the Saints now instead of waiting could be worth it because if they win that contest, you'll be hard-pressed to find 4-1 odds anywhere.
Dallas Cowboys (40-1 to 20-1)
Does an eight-point win over Detroit really justify such a massive odds movement here? The Cowboys' issue has been proving themselves against above-average competition, and the Jeff Driskel-led Lions don't qualify.
The Cowboys were 20-1 a few weeks ago and could easily fall back into the pack with a Week 12 loss in New England. This price is too short, and 40-1 was too long. Buy if Dallas' odds lengthen again, but don't fall for the current price after a mediocre win.
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.
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