MNF player props: Best bets for Colts-Saints
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The New Orleans Saints host the Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night Football to close out Week 15. Here are the best player props to consider for the prime-time clash.
Michael Thomas over 8.5 catches and 105.5 receiving yards
I really don't want to overthink this one. Thomas has a great matchup against a Colts pass defense that's trending the wrong way. Indianapolis was once inside the top 10 in both pass defense DVOA and explosive pass rate allowed but is now No. 14 and 19 in those respective categories. Thomas should see plenty of Pierre Desir, who grades out as the No. 106 cornerback in the league, according to PFF. The Saints receiver has been on a tear at home of late, catching double-digit passes and surpassing the century mark in receiving yards in each of the last four games at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
Zach Pascal under 4.5 receptions
Pascal's taken on a larger role with starting wide receiver T.Y. Hilton banged up. He's delivered at times, but the only problem is he's played several weak opposing defenses of late. The Colts' last five opponents - Tampa Bay, Tennessee, Houston, Jacksonville, and Miami - all rank in the bottom half of the league in pass defense DVOA. New Orleans has had issues covering WR1s this season, but Pascal is a far cry from Mike Evans, Michael Thomas, and D.J. Moore, who the Saints see twice a year. Marshon Lattimore is currently the No. 15 corner, per PFF, and should be able to keep Pascal quiet for most of the evening.
Alvin Kamara over 5.5 receptions
Although he hasn't recorded more than 75 yards on the ground since Week 1, Kamara is still making his presence felt in the passing game. He's hauled in at least four receptions in each of New Orleans' last seven contests and has seen at least six targets in each one. The Colts have no answer for opposing rushers in the passing game. Indianapolis has allowed a catch on 53 of its opponents' last 56 targets to running backs. If Kamara continues to see a high volume of targets Monday, he should go over this total with ease.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKoIodziej.