Super Bowl LIV 49ers player props: Go under on Deebo Samuel's longest catch

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I can guarantee if you don't have a player prop on your card yet for Super Bowl LIV, it's only a matter of time until you get the itch.

Standard player props - over/under completions for a quarterback, yards for a receiver, etc. - are widely available during the regular season. For Sunday's grand finale, it expands even more.

Today, we'll focus on the 49ers' side. Here are the best bets.

Deebo Samuel longest receptions over/under 27.5 yards

Samuel was quietly one of the best big-play rookie wide receivers, averaging 14.1 yards per catch while recording a long of at least 25 yards in eight of the last 10. Samuel's not a true home run hitter - he only had eight deep targets all year - but is exceptional at picking up yards after the catch. Despite making plenty of splash plays all year, I can't help but feel this number's a bit high. I'll take a Chiefs defense that was seventh in the league in explosive pass rate allowed in the regular season and a unit surrendering the second-fewest points to No. 2 WRs in the playoffs.

Pick: Under

Jimmy Garoppolo over/under 30.5 pass attempts

You never want to use recency bias when handicapping a player prop. But the 49ers were reminded two weeks ago against the Packers that the less they use Garoppolo, the better the chance they have at winning. Considering they're facing one of the league's worst rush defenses, don't expect them to stray too far from the game plan. And with how solid San Francisco's defense has been since getting healthy, the offense won't have to play in too deep of a negative game script for Garoppolo to have to throw his way back into the game.

Pick: Under

Kyle Juszczyk longest reception over/under 10.5 yards

Though he hasn't been needed much in the passing game this postseason, Juszczyk's been a formidable target for Garoppolo out of the backfield. Despite recording the lowest amount of catches in a season since 2014, Juszczyk averaged a career-high 12.1 yards per reception in 2019. If he's used through the air at all, there's a good chance he shatters this number.

Pick: Over

Raheem Mostert longest rush over/under 18.5 yards

Mostert's a tricky player to cap. The 49ers have a stable of backs who can go off at any point, and the NFC title game saw Mostert rush for more than 200 yards with four touchdowns. Is this a good time to sell high? I'm not exactly sure. But one area where I'll buy is the longest rush.

Kansas City was lucky the offense pulled away from Tennessee in the second half two weeks ago. Running back Derrick Henry was picking up plenty of chunk plays on the ground before the Titans dug a hole and took the ball out of his hands. If San Francisco can keep things close throughout the game and keep a consistent load for Mostert, he should be able to crack this number against a Chiefs defense that was No. 28 in the NFL in explosive rush rate allowed.

Pick: Over

George Kittle over/under 5.5 receptions

Kittle may have disappointed on the stat sheet a few weeks ago, but it's tough to make an impact in the passing game when your quarterback attempts only eight passes. I don't love the prospects of going over the total on too many 49ers receivers, but this is one I can get behind. Kansas City was one of the worst teams in the postseason at containing tight ends and that position's been a thorn in its side lately. Opposing tight ends have caught 14 passes against the Chiefs the last three weeks combined, with at least one touchdown in each game.

Pick: Over

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.