NFL fewest wins odds: No Minshew Magic for Jaguars in 2020

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Last season, the Miami Dolphins were the overwhelming +500 favorites to finish with the fewest wins in the NFL. However, Miami shocked many people when it finished the year strong and finished 5-11. The Cincinnati Bengals ultimately took home the dubious honor for fewest victories at +900 odds, limping to a 2-14 record.

Which team will finish with the worst record and pick first in next April's draft? The Jacksonville Jaguars (+500) enter 2020 as the deserving favorites, followed by the Bengals, Carolina Panthers, and Washington Redskins, all at +600.

Odds listed for teams +2500 or shorter

Best bet

Jacksonville Jaguars +500

It feels like a lifetime ago when the Jaguars led the New England Patriots 20-10 in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship Game. In reality, it was only during the 2017 season when Jacksonville was a late Tom Brady drive away from reaching the Super Bowl. The club has gone 11-21 over the last two seasons since then, and things could get worse in 2020.

The once vaunted Jaguars defense is now a shell of its former self. Jacksonville finished 24th in total defense and allowed 24.8 points per game in 2019. On paper, the unit could be even more porous this season, especially if the Jaguars trade defensive end Yannick Ngakoue. Quarterback Gardner Minshew had a promising rookie campaign, but the team went 2-4 in his final six games as a starter, scoring 12 points or fewer three times. There's very little depth behind Minshew with untested Joshua Dobbs the only other quarterback on the roster.

The Jaguars have very little front-line talent and even less depth. That's not a great recipe for NFL success. There will be no Minshew Magic in 2020, as the Jaguars will win the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes after finishing with the league's worst record.

Best value

New York Jets +1200

The Jets probably won't finish with the NFL's worst record but anything is possible with Adam Gase as head coach. There is some value with New York at 12-1 because the organization refuses to surround young quarterback Sam Darnold with weapons. Heading into the draft, the Jets' No. 1 receiver is slot man Jamison Crowder.

Keep in mind, the offense averaged 17.3 points per game last season, ranking ahead of only the Redskins (16.6). And as we saw, the offense goes from below average to brutal if Darnold is out for an extended period of the time. If New York begins the campaign slowly again, the wheels could come off.

Team to avoid

Carolina Panthers +600

The Panthers are starting a new chapter after saying goodbye to longtime head coach Ron Rivera and starting quarterback Cam Newton. However, the pieces are in place for Carolina to feature one of the NFL's most explosive offenses.

The first thing new head coach Matt Rhule did was hire rising star Joe Brady away from LSU to run the offense. The team then signed Teddy Bridgewater to replace Newton, and he'll have plenty of weapons at his disposal. The Panthers are loaded at the skill positions with running back Christian McCaffrey and receivers DJ Moore, Curtis Samuel, and Robby Anderson.

The Panthers' defense still needs work, which translates to Carolina playing a lot of entertaining, high-scoring contests. The offense is good enough to win 6-plus games though, making the Panthers' odds at +600 way too short.

Thomas Casale is theScore's supervising editor of sports betting. He's been following the sports betting industry for almost 30 years. A devoted fan of the wishbone offense, Thomas bets on all sports but specializes in college football, NFL, and college basketball. Find him on Twitter @TheTomCasale.