NFL win totals: Best bets for all 32 teams
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A lot has happened since we gave our early look at each NFL team in March. With the season now just over a week away, here are our best bets for all 32 teams' season win totals from theScore Bet:
Arizona Cardinals under 7
The Cardinals have a few big names on defense, and it barely mattered in 2019. It won't be enough this year, either.
Atlanta Falcons under 7.5
The offense is flashy - as always - but I'm not buying enough defensive improvement for Atlanta to finish any better than 7-9.
Baltimore Ravens over 11.5
The best roster from 2019 actually improved during the offseason. The Ravens won't be three wins worse than they were a year ago.
Buffalo Bills over 8.5
The Bills return 21 of 22 starters and an experienced coaching staff in a year when continuity matters more than ever. This is the best bet on the board.
Carolina Panthers over 5.5
This may be an unpopular take, but I don't think Carolina's roster is as bad as it's made out to be. If the defense is passable, six wins are well within reach.
Chicago Bears under 8
The Bears' defense isn't what it used to be, which means they'll need a lot from their quarterback, whoever that ends up being. That doesn't sound like a recipe for an over.
Cincinnati Bengals under 5.5
I love the Bengals as a week-to-week value, but six wins are a bit much to ask for in Joe Burrow's first season as a pro.
Cleveland Browns over 8.5
The Browns have fooled us before, but Kevin Stefanski and a rebuilt offensive line will change everything in Cleveland. This number underrates the talent level on the roster.
Dallas Cowboys over 9.5
Even if you don't trust the coaching, believe in the talent for Dallas, which played more like a 10-win team than one with eight victories a year ago.
Denver Broncos over 7.5
Drew Lock is a major question mark, but the rest of the Broncos' roster is loaded. Lock won't be bad enough to tank this.
Detroit Lions over 6.5
The NFC North is a mess, and the Lions added enough talent on defense to complement an underrated offense.
Green Bay Packers under 9
I know I'll regret this in December, but there are too many warning signs in Green Bay after an incredibly lucky 2019 season. Staying away is probably the safest move.
Houston Texans under 7.5
This low number accurately reflects the talent level surrounding Deshaun Watson in Houston. There are easily two better teams in the division, making eight wins tough to reach.
Indianapolis Colts over 9
This total has been rising since March, and we still can't get enough of the over. Philip Rivers should thrive behind the Colts' stout offensive line.
Jacksonville Jaguars under 5
There would be sneaky value on the over if this were any lower, but an inexperienced and undermanned Jaguars roster shouldn't be counted on for six wins.
Kansas City Chiefs under 11.5
The Chiefs' defense has too many holes to feel great about this high of a win total, especially for a team that won exactly 12 games in each of the last two years.
Las Vegas Raiders under 7
I want to like the Raiders, but there's a reason their win total is dropping. Their defense is awful, and their 2019 record is primed for regression. A tough schedule in 2020 doesn't help.
Los Angeles Chargers under 7.5
I was cautiously optimistic about the over in March. But a looming quarterback competition and injuries on defense have me backing off the Chargers. This one could be close, though.
Los Angeles Rams under 8.5
I expected this number to drop during the summer, but bettors are still buying the Rams hype from two years ago. This isn't the same team, and there isn't any value betting it to go over in this division.
Miami Dolphins under 6.5
The Dolphins' total is 0.5 wins higher than it was in March, and that's enough for me to back off. Miami is still a year or two away.
Minnesota Vikings over 8.5
I was pessimistic in March, but the Vikings' defense is too nasty to ignore, especially with the addition of Yannick Ngakoue. An impressive haul from the 2020 draft helps, too.
New England Patriots under 9
A healthy Cam Newton would change my outlook, but I'm skeptical we'll see that for 16 games. After a mass exodus of talent in free agency and the opt-out period, all signs point under in New England.
New Orleans Saints over 10.5
The Saints have won 13 games for two straight years, and the roster is even better this season. You can't ask for much more.
New York Giants over 6
Daniel Jones is still fumbling in training camp, which isn't a great sign for the over. But an improved roster - especially on defense - should be enough for New York to overcome those turnover woes.
New York Jets over 6.5
I loved the Jets' under in March, but the more I dig, the more sneaky value there is on positive regression for one of 2019's unluckiest teams.
Philadelphia Eagles over 9.5
Injuries are already plaguing the Eagles in training camp. Still, there's enough talent and positive regression to bet high on a modest number.
Pittsburgh Steelers under 9
The Steelers are a popular over candidate after a disappointing 2019, but is a 38-year-old Ben Roethlisberger really the difference-maker? Hard pass.
San Francisco 49ers over 10.5
This team got a bit lucky in 2019, but this number is too low for an elite roster from top to bottom. The defense alone carries San Francisco above this mark.
Seattle Seahawks under 9.5
There are major red flags in Seattle after four fourth-quarter comebacks and nine wins by seven points or less - the latter being tied for the most by any team in three decades.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers over 9
How is this total still so low? With a loaded offense and efficient defense, the Buccaneers should be getting at least 10 wins in the market.
Tennessee Titans over 8.5
Ryan Tannehill's breakout last year was for real. Can the Titans' defense keep up this season? At this number, we like their chances.
Washington Football Team under 5
Everything that can go wrong has gone wrong in Washington. If this number was 0.5, I might still bet the under.
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.