Seahawks-Cardinals betting trends and player props

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After a minor scheduling adjustment this week, the Sunday night game pits the Seahawks (-3.5, 55.5) against the upstart Cardinals, who have blown out the Jets and Cowboys in consecutive weeks. Can Arizona find that same success against its undefeated division rival?

Here are our favorite trends, props, and bets for Sunday night.

Betting trends

You've surely heard it before, but it bears repeating: Since drafting Russell Wilson in 2012, the Seahawks are 21-10-3 against the spread in prime time, including 14-4-2 ATS when favored in that spot. They're also a remarkable 7-0-1 ATS as road favorites dating back to a Week 4 win over the Cardinals a year ago.

Since that loss, Arizona is 9-4 ATS as an underdog, including 5-2 ATS when getting five points or fewer. Surprisingly, the Cardinals have only been underdogs in one game this season - an outright win over the 49ers (-7) - but they've gone 4-2 ATS overall with a combined 68-20 scoring margin in their previous two games.

Arizona is also 5-1 to the under this year, though its schedule may have something to do with that - the Cardinals' six opponents have combined for 22.1 points per game, which would rank 24th in the league among scoring offenses.

Conversely, the Seahawks are 3-1-1 to the over behind the NFL's top-ranked offense (33.8 points per game) and a mediocre scoring defense (27.0 PPG) that ranks dead last in average yards allowed (471.2).

Player props

Kyler Murray to score a touchdown (+145)

Murray has been on a tear this season after rushing for four touchdowns a year ago, reaching the end zone six times through six games with at least one touchdown in five of them. They're not long scampers against unsuspecting defenses, either - his last three touchdowns have all come from inside the 2-yard line, and the other three came within or near the red zone.

The Seahawks' defense has allowed three rushing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks this year, tied for second-most in the NFL, and their nine sacks are the ninth-fewest in the league. If Seattle can't bring Murray down, watch out.

DK Metcalf over 73.5 receiving yards (-110)

Two weeks ago, we liked Metcalf to score a touchdown against an overmatched Vikings secondary. Sure enough, he scored twice. This time, we love his yardage total against a Cardinals defense that's struggled to contain the other team's No. 1 option.

Four times in the last five weeks, Arizona has allowed its opponent's top receiver - Terry McLaurin (125 yards), Robby Anderson (99), Jamison Crowder (116), and Amari Cooper (79) - to surpass this number with room to spare. Metcalf has at least four catches for 90 yards in all five games this year, making this an easy buy at this number.

Best bet

Over 55.5

I've said it before and I'll say it again: Until the Seahawks' offense cools down or their defense tightens up, I'll keep hammering the over. We know these offenses can light up the scoreboard, and neither defense has proven stout against real competition.

If the number scares you off, don't let it. Totals of at least 55 are 21-12-2 to the over since 2016, so trust the market on games that profile like this one.

C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.