Cardinals-Seahawks betting trends and player props
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The NFC West hangs in the balance, as the reeling Seahawks (-3, 57.5) play host to the red-hot Cardinals with the winner seizing first place in the division.
Here are our favorite trends, props, and bets for Thursday night.
Betting trends
As is the case any time Russell Wilson plays in prime time, it's worth revisiting his stellar 21-11-3 record against the spread in late-night games and 14-5-2 ATS record as a favorite in that spot. He's also a sparkling 8-0-1 ATS on Thursday nights, though he can thank a defense allowing an average of 14.3 points across those nine contests.
Despite his career success in prime time, Wilson is just 1-5 ATS in his last five in that spot, including a Week 7 loss to Arizona as a 3.5-point favorite. That was the Cardinals' third straight win ATS in prime time and 13th ATS win in their last 18 tries as an underdog dating back to a 2018 cover against the Seahawks.
In fact, Seattle has long had issues with its division foe, carrying a 1-6-1 ATS record in its last eight against Arizona. The Seahawks have covered 17 of their last 26 as favorites when giving three or fewer points, while the Cardinals have covered 15 of their last 19 when catching three or fewer points as 'dogs.
As for the total? Fasten your seatbelts ahead of this one. Seattle is 6-2 to the over this year and 24-11-1 to the over in its last 36 contests, including 7-2-1 with a total of at least 51. Arizona is riding a three-game over streak and has scored at least 30 points in each of its last five games.
Whenever the total gets this high, the over should be on high alert. Since 2016, the over is 24-13-2 with a total of at least 55, including 9-3 with a total of at least 57.5.
Player props
Chase Edmonds over 19.5 receiving yards (-110)
Kenyan Drake's return last week expectedly cut Edmonds' workload in the Cardinals' rushing game, but he's still a solid bet to produce as a receiver out of the backfield. The third-year back caught three passes for 21 yards Sunday and has earned at least 20 yards receiving in five of his last seven contests, averaging 33.3 yards over that stretch.
Seattle's defense has been stout against the run this year, though it's allowed opposing running backs to record 47.8 yards per game through the air, seventh-most by any defense. Edmonds gashed the Seahawks for 87 receiving yards in Week 7 and should get the lion's share of receiving work out of the backfield Thursday, too.
Russell Wilson over 0.5 interceptions (-130)
This feels gift-wrapped, doesn't it? Wilson has been a turnover machine as of late, throwing seven interceptions in his last four games. It's not just isolated to those weeks, though. Wilson has thrown a pick in six of nine games this year and is tied for the third-most interceptions (10) on the season.
Arizona's defense is tied for the ninth-most picks (8) this year and has seven over its last four games. In a potential shootout, this is a small price to pay for something that seems incredibly likely.
Best bet
Cardinals over 27.5 points (-103)
While this game profiles as high-scoring, we really only know two things for certain: The Cardinals' offense is good, and the Seahawks' defense is really, really bad. Seattle's offense has shown flashes of brilliance but is also mired in a turnover spiral, while Arizona's defense has been hit-and-miss all year.
As we saw the last time these two teams played, either side could easily steal this game late, but it's hard to imagine Thursday night passing without a strong offensive showing from the Cardinals. Take the over or the points if you're feeling conventional, but this is likely the safest play on the night.
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.