Cowboys-Ravens best bets: Jackson, Baltimore out for redemption
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The reason why some games are being played on Tuesday this year isn't great, but having another day of the week with football to bet on is incredibly clutch.
So what's the bet(s) for Tuesday? We can help with that.
Alex Kolodziej
Lamar Jackson over 50.5 rushing yards (-110)
The Ravens couldn't run the ball last week against the Steelers. Baltimore should be banned from the league if the team's unable to get the ground game going on Tuesday against the Cowboys.
Dallas currently ranks No. 29 in DVOA rush defense and No. 25 in explosive rush rate allowed. Jackson, who was absent in Week 12, has rushed for at least 50 yards in each of the last five games.
The Ravens are a nine-point favorite with an offense ranking second in the league in run-play frequency, behind only the Patriots. Jackson can smash this number in one attempt.
Alex Moretto
Dalton Schultz over 3.5 receptions (-105)
It's safe to assume the Cowboys will be playing the bulk of this game from behind. Andy Dalton has a wealth of options demanding targets, which can make receiving props volatile for this club, but one guy I feel incredibly safe with at a reasonably low number is Dalton Schultz.
Baltimore can bring pressure and Dallas struggles in pass protection, which could lead to a lot of quick passes from Dalton to his security blanket at tight end. In the three games Dalton has started - and finished - this season, Schultz has 13 catches on 16 targets, including at least four receptions in each of them.
Schultz has a really high catch to target ratio due to how close most of his targets are to the line of scrimmage, so expect him to get some looks again here against a Ravens team that's surrendered 15 catches to tight ends in the last two weeks alone.
C Jackson Cowart
Cowboys team total under 17.5 (-120)
I don't know what to expect from Baltimore's offense in Jackson's first game back from the COVID-19 list. Frankly, neither do you. But what we do know is this Ravens defense is legit, ranking third in average points allowed (19.5) and fifth in opposing yards per play (5.2).
The Cowboys have struggled to find any rhythm on offense with their rotating cast of quarterbacks. Outside of a 31-point outburst against a leaky Vikings defense, Dallas has averaged 11.4 points since Dak Prescott's injury and scored fewer than 17 points in four of those six games without Prescott.
Another X-factor here? Fumbles. Nobody has lost more fumbles than the Cowboys (13), while the Ravens lead the league in forced fumbles (21) and rank second in takeaways off of fumbles (11). Nothing stalls an offense like turnovers and I'd be surprised to see Dallas avoid them on Tuesday.