Week 13 player prop bets: Allen Robinson feasts on the Lions
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Last week, we were fortunate enough to cash Matt Ryan under 40.5 pass attempts despite him having 28 at the half. Conversely, Aaron Rodgers' longest completion total was set at 39.5 - his long on Sunday was 39.
Sometimes you just have to roll with the punches.
Week 13 is another loaded card. Here's where we stand on some player props.
Tyler Lockett's longest reception under 22.5 yards
Lockett's always been the home run hitter in the Seahawks' offense. He began the season with a catch of at least 20 yards in four of six games, then went off for 15 catches, 200 yards, and three touchdowns against the Cardinals in Week 7.
However, he's slowly morphing into the No. 2 option behind D.K. Metcalf, with only one catch of 20-plus yards in his last five.
Metcalf is eating up targets, quarterback Russell Wilson isn't cooking like his normal self, and Seattle's offense, in general, hasn't been as potent as it was earlier in the season.
So, look for another so-so stat line from Lockett, who faces a Giants defense that ranks No. 3 in explosive pass rate allowed this season.
Corey Davis over 57.5 receiving yards
Davis is finally starting to look like the player who the Titans drafted in the first round three years ago. The wide receiver's on his way to a breakout season, and the train will keep moving Sunday against the Browns.
Cleveland's defense gets too much hype for a unit that ranks just 23rd in the NFL in DVOA pass defense and 20th against the rush. The Browns are also down a couple of bodies in the secondary, which will give quarterback Ryan Tannehill some favorable matchups when he has to air it out.
Outside of getting shut out in Week 9 against the Bears, Davis has at least 67 yards in each of his last four.
Allen Robinson over 70.5 receiving yards
Speaking of the Bears, we'll make a play on Robinson. Chicago's had negative stability under center, but the veteran receiver is still enjoying a monster year. He has at least four catches, 70 yards, or a touchdown in nine straight games for one of the league's worst offenses.
Robinson went off for 74 yards in the previous meeting against the Lions, who rank No. 30 in explosive pass rate and No. 26 in pass yards allowed per game this year.
As a member of the Bears, Robinson has crushed this total in four of five meetings against Detroit.
Nelson Agholor over 42.5 receiving yards
Few players have improved more from last season than Agholor. In his first year with the Raiders, the receiver has already piled up 29 catches for 496 yards and six scores.
Agholor and the Raiders' offense will explode Sunday against the Jets. Las Vegas is a sizable favorite and the market's expecting roughly seven touchdowns. New York's defense is also No. 23 in explosive pass rate and No. 20 in yards per completion allowed.
It may only take a couple of catches for Agholor to surpass this number.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.