Super Bowl LVI best bets

We've seen significant line movement with many game and prop markets up for close to two weeks already. A lot of our bets are useless to give out now with numbers long gone, but there's still value left to be found in the expansive prop market.

Here are our best bets available to be made right now for Super Bowl LVI:

C Jackson Cowart: Shortest TD under 1.5 yards (-139)

My initial lean for this bet was "no touchback," but the value has mostly been sapped from that bet after oddsmakers came to their senses this week - with a little help from opportunistic bettors hammering "no" at plus money.

One wager that still lags, though, is the shortest touchdown. The under was dealing at -160 a year ago and was still a screaming value at that price. So what are bookmakers thinking this time around?

Since 1990, the shortest touchdown has been exactly one yard in 22 of 32 years, which would suggest a price of roughly -220 on the under. These two teams scored or allowed a short TD in 23 of 40 games (57.5%) ahead of Sunday, which is enough to justify a play here even without such strong Super Bowl precedent.

Alex Moretto: Ja'Marr Chase under 80.5 receiving yards (-115)

It was tough to narrow my card down to one bet, but at the current price, and given where other lines have moved, this is my favorite prop left on the board. I played it at 80.5, and it's still at 80.5, which I can't say about most others.

This is a really high number for a player as volatile as Chase, and some monster games inflate it. Chase's average receiving total this season is 86.7, but that's pulled way up by those big performances. His median is actually 65. So he finishes well below 80.5 more often than not, but we are misled here by those 200-yard outliers. Chase has gone under this number in nine of his last 13 games.

The reality is he'll be a focal point for the Rams secondary, with Jalen Ramsey likely to provide shadow coverage. When Chase avoids Ramsey, he'll get doubled. This is also a bad matchup for the Bengals passing game in general, as Joe Burrow's worst contests this season came against the four teams on their schedule - Bears, Browns, Chargers, Broncos - who employ the most two-high pre-snap looks. Well, the Rams lead the league in two-high looks.

Chase topped out at 54 receiving yards in those four games and averaged 39.5. He's facing a tough matchup here while needing to surpass a yardage total well above his median on the season. This is a really strong play, and you can probably wait as close to kickoff as possible to bet it as his total should only rise as public money streams in on the over.

Matt Russell: Rams first half -3 (-110), Matthew Stafford under 36.5 pass attempts (-110)

I'm looking for a way to back the Rams, but without assuming the risk that Sean McVay's conservative attitude in the second half costs Los Angeles the cover. The first of two ways to accomplish that is the most obvious - just bet the Rams in the first half. However, with the point spread sitting at a flat -3, there's a strong chance for a push.

Also, it's the Super Bowl, so it's not all that fun to have a bet decided in the first half, especially if it's a push. Betting the under on Matthew Stafford's pass attempts is equivalent to a full game bet on the Rams, but it removes a scenario in which McVay has run out of timeouts and looks lost in the fourth quarter, allowing the Bengals to backdoor the spread late. If L.A. does enough with a multi-dimensional offense and a dominant run game, it won't need to throw the ball close to 40 times. Even a late score by the Bengals won't stress Stafford, and the Rams run out the clock late.