Daniels odds-on favorite to win OROY as Commanders trend toward playoffs
Odds and data via theScore Bet and ESPN Bet
Jayden Daniels is the odds-on favorite to earn Offensive Rookie of the Year honors and has the Commanders moving toward a postseason berth.
The No. 2 pick's career is off to a tremendous start, and the shift in his OROY odds reflects that. Daniels opened at +800 (11.1% implied probability) to win the award, behind Caleb Williams (+250) and Marvin Harrison Jr. (+600).
But amid a 3-1 start and an 82.1% completion percentage - the highest of any QB, rookie or not, through four games in NFL history - Daniels is now -140 (58.3% implied probability) to win.
He's thrown for 897 yards, three touchdowns, and only one interception this season. The Commanders' offense is rolling with Daniels under center, averaging 30.25 points per game and with only one punt in the last three contests.
The Commanders currently lead the NFC East, and their odds of making the playoffs have shortened with each win. Washington was +320 (23.8% implied probability) to reach the playoffs before the season started, +425 after it lost in Week 1, and is now down to +135 (42.6% implied probability) after three straight victories.
Daniels and Co. were +900 to win the division before Week 1, odds that have now shortened to +275. However, they remain a long shot to win the Super Bowl at +6000.
The Commanders face the Browns in Week 5 and are favored by three points at home.