Week 12 player props: Gibbs set to run wild against Colts' defense
The quantity of player props available these days will make your head spin. You can spend hours pursuing every game and failing to find one you like.
We're here to help.
Below, we identified five props to target from this week's marquee games to supplement our Week 12 betting primer.
Let's dive in.
Anthony Richardson - Over 7.5 rush attempts (-130)
Richardson returned from his benching and turned in what was arguably the best game of his career. Yes, it was against a weak Jets defense, but any progress from Richardson is a positive sign.
The team total in Colts-Lions is 49.5 at theScore Bet/ESPN Bet, suggesting there's potential for a shootout. The Lions have a very efficient offense and should give the Colts plenty of possessions. Indianapolis, meanwhile, runs the third-highest-paced offense in the league based on seconds-per-play, and the more snaps Richardson takes, the more opportunities he has to run.
Jahmyr Gibbs - Over 91.5 rushing + receiving yards (-122)
Gibbs may be the most explosive player in the league. He has a chance to take it to the house every time he touches the ball. The Lions' speedster amassed more than 91.5 total yards in six of 10 games this season and went over 90.5 in five of his last six.
The Colts' defense is not very good, giving up 143.1 yards on the ground and 374.5 total yards per game (both are the fifth most in the league). The Lions average the most points per game (33.1) and the third-most yards (394.7). In a game that could turn into a track meet, backing one of the league's fastest running backs who continually exceeds his yardage props is a worthwhile bet.
Caleb Williams - Over 24.5 rushing yards (+105)
The first overall pick ran for 70 yards last week on nine attempts. Some of that had to do with the Bears' weak offensive line, and some of that had to do with Williams' willingness to use his legs.
This week, Williams won't have a choice but to run. The Vikings generate the most pressure in the NFL, getting to the quarterback on 29.6% of opponents' dropbacks. Williams will be forced to tuck the ball and run more often than he'd like and should be able to surpass 24.5 yards on the ground.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Over 59.5 (+100)
DK Metcalf's injury that forced him to miss two games was arguably the key to unlocking Jaxon Smith-Njigba's potential. With Metcalf out, Smith-Njigba caught 13 balls for 249 yards. When Metcalf returned last week, Smith-Njigba had 10 catches for 110 yards.
Smith-Njigba should remain the focal point of the Seahawks' passing game against the Cardinals. Metcalf will remain their deep threat, but Smith-Njigba's ability to earn targets all over the field makes him Geno Smith's top option and a candidate to surpass his receiving-yard prop with ease.
Cooper Kupp - Over 69.5 receiving yards (+100)
Kupp has exceeded the 70-yard mark by a wide margin in three straight games, making this total jump off the page as one that's too low. The Eagles can be tough to pass on, as rookie corner Quinyon Mitchell shuts down opponents' top options on the outside.
However, Kupp does most of his damage out of the slot on shorter routes, and the Eagles are giving up big games to players with similar profiles (tight ends, short-yardage receivers, and running backs). Kupp should be able to find plenty of open space and be Matthew Stafford's go-to option.
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