MNF bets: Packers host Eagles in potential NFC title game preview
The Philadelphia Eagles travel to Green Bay to take on the Packers on Monday Night Football, a clash between two NFC powerhouses and a potential conference championship preview.
These two sides met in the divisional round last season when the Eagles won 22-10 at home to begin their Super Bowl run. Philadelphia and Green Bay have both held the position as NFC favorite this season, but now sit fourth and fifth, respectively, on the oddsboard in a wide-open conference.
Let's get to our pick for Monday Night Football, plus player props and touchdown scorers to close out Week 10.
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π Pick: Packers -1.5
These are two evenly matched teams, and the spread suggests this game would be roughly a coin flip played on a neutral field.
There's an argument to be made that the Eagles are the side to take in this spot. They are playing better football than the Packers at the moment, and are coming off their bye. If this were a regular 1 p.m. ET game on a Sunday, I'd be tempted to take Philly.
But buying low on the Packers at home in prime time is too tempting to pass up. The hosts are coming off a brutal loss at home to the Panthers, which I'm sure left a bad taste in bettors' mouths. Who would want to back Green Bay a week after watching them post just 13 points on Carolina?
However, this is a perfect opportunity for the Packers, who were perceived as the Super Bowl favorites early this season, to rebound and reassert themselves as the best team in the NFC. The Packers have a much better offense based on expected points added per play (EPA/play), according to sumersports.com, and are nearly identical on defense to the Eagles in the same rating.
While Philadelphia may seem like the obvious choice, I'll pivot and take the home team in prime time to make a statement win.
π Bet: Over 4.5 receptions
Doubs has emerged as the true No. 1 receiver on the Packers, a team that used to spread the ball around before injuries started to pile up. Now with Tucker Kraft out, Doubs will surely earn more looks from Jordan Love. Doubs has caught five or more passes in four of his last five games.
π Bet: Longest reception over 24.5 yards
Watson has played two games since returning from injury and has quickly made an impact in the Packers' passing attack. He's a true deep threat, hauling in six catches for 143 yards, which is an average of 23.8 yards per catch. It's not like he's had an 80-yard reception to inflate his average, either. His longest receptions in two games are 52 and 33 yards. Asking Watson for one 25-yard catch at plus-money isn't a tall order.
π Bet: Over 199.5 passing yards
Hurts' over/under for passing attempts is set at 26.5, with the over paying -125. If the expectation is that Hurts is going to attempt roughly 27 passes, backing over 199.5 passing yards is the bet to make. Hurts has thrown for 200 or more yards in four of his past six games, and has never gone under that total yards when attempting 25 or more passes. The Packers have a stout rush defense, which should make the Eagles more inclined to call a few extra passing plays.
NFL news editor Brenden Deeg will provide touchdown scorer props all season long.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+185)
Doubs is really the only wide receiver on the Packers you can trust this game. He's the only player at his position on the depth chart who doesn't have an injury designation. Doubs also leads all wideouts on the team in touchdowns with four, and his 10 red zone targets are the second-most on the Packers behind Kraft, who suffered a season-ending knee injury last week.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+225)
Goedert's seven touchdowns this season are the most among all tight ends in the NFL. Getting him at +225 is a number you just have to jump on. His seven red zone targets are also the most on the Eagles roster, and he will face a defense that has allowed the fourth most targets to the position heading into Week 10.
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