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Fantasy: 2019 Projections - Will Freeman challenge Lindsay in Denver?

Joe Amon / Denver Post / Getty

Get ready for your season with theScore's 2019 Fantasy Football Draft Kit and subscribe to push notifications in the NFL Fantasy News section.

With training camps approaching, theScore's Justin Boone is releasing his offensive projections for all 32 teams, including his thoughts on every fantasy-relevant player.

Projections are based on the following point values in PPR leagues:

  • Passing Yards: 1 point per 25 yards
  • Passing TDs: 4 points
  • Interceptions: -2 points
  • Rushing Yards: 1 point per 10 yards
  • Rushing TDs: 6 points
  • Receptions: 1 point
  • Receiving Yards: 1 point per 10 yards
  • Receiving TDs: 6 points
  • Fumbles Lost: -2 points
  • Two-point Conversions: 2 points

2019 Fantasy Projections

AFC East
NE | BUF | NYJ | MIA
AFC North
BAL | CIN | PIT | CLE
AFC South
JAX | IND | HOU | TEN
AFC West
DEN | KC | OAK | LAC
NFC East
DAL | PHI | NYG | WAS
NFC North
DET | GB | MIN | CHI
NFC South
ATL | NO | CAR | TB
NFC West
LAR | SF | SEA | ARI

Denver Broncos

Joe Flacco, QB

Fantasy Points 124.34
Attempts 336
Completions 204
Pass Yards 2251
Pass TDs 12
INTs 7
Carries 18
Rush Yards 23
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 1
2PT 0

If these numbers seem a little low, it's because they are. A year after Flacco was benched in favor of a rookie, we're predicting the same situation will unfold again, only this time in Denver. The projection accounts for 10 games from Flacco in a Broncos offense that'll be powered by its rushing attack behind an improved offensive line. Needless to say, Flacco is not a fantasy option.

Quarterback depth: Drew Lock was a very intriguing prospect at Missouri. He flashed pinpoint deep-ball accuracy and a confidence in his arm that often led to foolish throws into traffic. Several areas of his game need to be fixed in the pros, which is worrisome since he was drafted by a Broncos organization that's struggled to develop quarterbacks. Unless Denver surprises and stays in the playoff hunt, we should see Lock at some point during the second half of the season.

Phillip Lindsay, RB

Fantasy Points 210.2
Carries 182
Rush Yards 977
Rush TDs 8
Fumbles Lost 0
Targets 46
Receptions 34
Rec. Yards 245
Rec. TDs 1
2PT 0

Lindsay forced the Broncos to throw draft capital out the window by outdueling third-rounder Royce Freeman. The more dynamic Lindsay went from undrafted free agent to fantasy star with 1,278 yards from scrimmage and 10 touchdowns in 15 games. A late-season wrist injury kept Lindsay sidelined through the offseason program and allowed Freeman to impress the new coaching staff, perhaps earning a bigger role moving forward. Lindsay was declared healthy at the start of training camp and received the first carry, a sign he's still the ball carrier to own in Denver. Even if Freeman siphons off some work, Lindsay will dominate pass downs and remains a top-24 running back in fantasy.

Royce Freeman, RB

Fantasy Points 133.6
Carries 168
Rush Yards 690
Rush TDs 7
Fumbles Lost 1
Targets 23
Receptions 16
Rec. Yards 86
Rec. TDs 0
2PT 0

The Broncos' best chance of success is leaning on a strong run game and stout defense. The organization has invested heavily in its offensive line, including the addition of one of the league's best O-line coaches in Mike Munchak, so an increase in rushing attempts is likely the desired outcome. Lindsay isn't built to handle much more volume than he saw a year ago. As long as the team can keep games close, Freeman should see an uptick in carries, making him an RB3/flex play.

Running back depth: The Broncos inexplicably gave Devontae Booker 72 touches and 51 targets in 2018. The hope was for the more effective Lindsay-Freeman duo to take on much of that work this season, but the signing of pass-catching specialist Theo Riddick will likely prevent that from happening.

Courtland Sutton, WR

Fantasy Points 172.7
Targets 98
Receptions 53
Rec. Yards 837
Rec. TDs 6
Carries 0
Rush Yards 0
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 0
2PT 0

Sutton has all the tools of a No. 1 receiver, but after Demaryius Thomas was traded and Emmanuel Sanders injured, the rookie wasn't able to consistently produce as the top option. He tied for 10th in drops in 2018 and struggled to hold on to the ball again on the first day of training camp this year. Sutton is in a group of lower probability breakout candidates, but he needs to convince fantasy managers that he can develop into a weekly contributor.

Emmanuel Sanders, WR

Fantasy Points 143.9
Targets 79
Receptions 55
Rec. Yards 649
Rec. TDs 4
Carries 0
Rush Yards 0
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 0
2PT 0

No one expected the 32-year-old to be this far along in his recovery from a torn Achilles. Sanders avoided the PUP list and took the field with his teammates on the first day of training camp and even made cuts while running routes during individual drills. Though he didn't participate in team sessions, Sanders is working toward being ready for Week 1. With his risk of suffering a setback or a cascade injury still high, we're keeping our expectations in check. If Sanders continues to excel over the next few weeks, his projection will improve dramatically.

DaeSean Hamilton, WR

Fantasy Points 115.5
Targets 64
Receptions 41
Rec. Yards 565
Rec. TDs 3
Carries 0
Rush Yards 0
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 0
2PT 0

Hamilton's fantasy value is linked to Sanders' rehab timeline. When the veteran appeared destined to miss games or be cut, Hamilton was considered a steal with an outside shot to lead the team in receptions. Sanders' impressive recovery is turning Hamilton into an afterthought in fantasy drafts.

Receiver depth: After Sanders went down, Tim Patrick emerged as a near full-time player in the passing game and posted stat lines of 7-85, 5-65, 3-44, and 4-48 over the final four weeks. He was a true sleeper heading into the season, especially with Sutton unproven atop the depth chart. Sanders' speedy return would stamp out Patrick's fantasy value.

Noah Fant, TE

Fantasy Points 111.7
Targets 68
Receptions 42
Rec. Yards 517
Rec. TDs 3
Carries 0
Rush Yards 0
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 0
2PT 0

With the receiving corps in flux, Fant will have an opportunity to carve out a significant role as a pass-catching tight end. His new quarterback, Flacco, spent his entire Baltimore career in a system that favored tight ends, giving the rookie an edge. First-year tight ends rarely turn in to fantasy starters, but Fant's situation could be an exception. At the moment, he should be seen as a TE2 streaming option with TE1 upside if injuries strike the receiving corps.

Tight end depth: Fant also faces very little competition as everyone on the depth chart - Jeff Heuerman, Jake Butt, Troy Fumagalli - have already tried and failed to be the team's starter.

2019 Fantasy Projections

AFC East
NE | BUF | NYJ | MIA
AFC North
BAL | CIN | PIT | CLE
AFC South
JAX | IND | HOU | TEN
AFC West
DEN | KC | OAK | LAC
NFC East
DAL | PHI | NYG | WAS
NFC North
DET | GB | MIN | CHI
NFC South
ATL | NO | CAR | TB
NFC West
LAR | SF | SEA | ARI

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