NHL Wednesday best bets: Expect a low-scoring game in Dallas
Tuesday was another great success for our best bets. We went 2-0, pushing our record to 10-2 since last Monday.
We'll aim for another winning night as we attack this three-game slate.
Kraken (+160) @ Stars (-150)
Alright, it's time for the ultimate heat check. It's time to bet an under involving the Kraken.
Even though Seattle's offense isn't exactly potent, unders are a scary proposition due to the poor quality of its goaltending. Still, value is value and I see it on the under. Despite playing lifeless hockey, the Kraken give up very few chances, believe it or not.
At five-on-five, they rank 31st in high-danger chances per 60 minutes over the last 10 games, ahead of only the Sabres. On the flip side, Seattle ranks 3rd in high-danger chances against per 60.
The Stars also play pretty slow, defense-first hockey, so they won't pull the Kraken out of their comfort zone. At five-on-five, Dallas ranks eighth in high-danger chances against per 60 over the last 10.
When the team does give up a high-danger chance, it has Jake Oettinger (.923 save percentage) there to clean up the mess.
If Philipp Grubauer's performance isn't a complete disaster - a big if, I know - this game should stay under.
Bet: Under 6 goals (-125)
Morgan Rielly over 2.5 shots on goal (-115)
Rielly has shot the puck a lot lately, registering at least three shots in eight of the last 10 games.
His attempts per game in that span are around 0.5 higher than they were over his first 24 contests.
The Coyotes allow the most shots per game to defenders this season, making them a dream matchup. They concede 10.91 per game - the Senators (10.69) are the only other team giving up more than 10.2 per contest.
Arizona clearly lags behind the rest of the pack and I like Rielly to take advantage of that.
Bonus round: Mike Hoffman over 2.5 shots (-115). Hoffman consistently plays 18-19 minutes per game and we've seen an uptick in shots as a result. He recorded three shots or more in eight of the last 10 games. Even against a stingy Bruins team, I see value in this price.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.