NHL Tuesday player props: 2 forward totals to target
We have a juicy seven-game slate on the docket tonight. Let's dive right into our best bets as we look to build on Monday's 2-1 effort.
Jesper Bratt over 2.5 shots (-155)
We backed Bratt to go over 2.5 shots in Ottawa on Monday, and he came through with four. We're going right back to the well with him tonight in Montreal.
As I mentioned in Monday's post, Bratt shoots more when he's not on a line with Jack Hughes. A lot more. At five-on-five, Bratt averages 12.40 shot attempts per 60 with Hughes.
That number soars to 17.77 attempts per 60 when skating on a line with Nico Hischier, which is the plan once again tonight.
If that's not enough, Bratt also finds himself in the best matchup imaginable. The Montreal Canadiens can't defend one lick. They bleed shots, ranking 32nd in attempts against per 60 over the last 10 games.
Bratt should once again manage to go over the number with relative ease.
Connor McDavid under 3.5 shots (+100)
Betting an under on McDavid is always scary - regardless of the statistic. There's a method to the madness, though.
McDavid's newest linemate, Evander Kane, is one of the league's more trigger-happy shooters. He attempts a ton of shots, and when he gets the puck, he generally doesn't give it back. That's one factor that should lead to fewer shots for No. 97.
The Vegas Golden Knights are also one of the best shot-suppression teams in the NHL. At five-on-five, they allowed just over 26 shots per 60 over the last 10 games - good for the league's third-best mark. They also rank in the top five when accounting for all strengths.
Given the low volume Vegas gives up on any given night, I just don't have much interest in betting on a guy to reach such a high number - especially when skating on a line with someone like Kane.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.