Skip to content

Stanley Cup odds update: Where is the value in the current market?

AAron Ontiveroz/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images / Denver Post / Getty

The 2021-22 NHL campaign continues to breeze by. While it feels like we just hit the mid-way point, the reality is some teams have finished as much as 67% of their schedule.

The trade deadline is not far out, with the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs soon to follow. Which teams offer the best value to make noise at the dance? Let's dive into just that.

TEAM ODDS (Feb. 28) ODDS (Jan. 27)
Colorado Avalanche +400 +500
Florida Panthers +750 +800
Tampa Bay Lightning +750 +800
Vegas Golden Knights +750 +800
Toronto Maple Leafs +1000 +900
Carolina Hurricanes +1000 +1200
Calgary Flames +1300 +2000
Pittsburgh Penguins +1600 +1800
Boston Bruins +1800 +1800
Minnesota Wild +2000 +1500
New York Rangers +2000 +2000
Washington Capitals +2500 +1600
St. Louis Blues +2500 +2500
Edmonton Oilers +3000 +2000
Nashville Predators +3000 +4500
Dallas Stars +5000 +3500
Los Angeles Kings +6000 +10000
Anaheim Ducks +6000 +4000
New York Islanders +8000 +6000
Winnipeg Jets +9000 +4000
Vancouver Canucks +15000 +9000
Detroit Red Wings +20000 +15000
San Jose Sharks +20000 +15000
New Jersey Devils +50000 +15000
Philadelphia Flyers +50000 +15000
Chicago Blackhawks +50000 +15000
Columbus Blue Jackets +50000 +15000
Seattle Kraken +50000 +20000
Ottawa Senators +50000 +30000
Buffalo Sabres +100000 +30000
Montreal Canadiens +100000 +20000
Arizona Coyotes +100000 +100000

Colorado Avalanche (+400)

These odds imply the Colorado Avalanche have a 20% chance of winning the Stanley Cup. Even considering hockey is a very random, luck-filled sport where anything can happen, I still think the Avs are undervalued on the market. This team has as much star power as any in hockey. Led by Darcy Kuemper and his .920 save percentage, their goaltending is better than it is given credit for. Injuries have riddled this team all season, but they still sit atop the league. And, they have room to add an impact player at the deadline - Claude Giroux, perhaps? - without moving a bunch of money out. I think this line should be around +250.

Toronto Maple Leafs (+1000)

Three teams have more wins than the Toronto Maple Leafs this season. Three. That fact is impressive without context. When you factor in that both of their goaltenders have struggled to make saves for a couple of months, it's even more impressive. The Maple Leafs own a .650 points percentage over the last 20 games, which ties them with the Boston Bruins for ninth in the NHL. They've accomplished that while getting worse goaltending than every single team in the league at five-on-five. Even the New Jersey Devils, for example, have gotten more out of Jon Gillies and Nico Daws. Yeah ... Toronto's goaltending has been that bad, and the team continued to win a lot of games.

As bad as Jack Campbell and, to a slightly lesser extent, Petr Mrazek have performed, they're better than they've shown. Campbell is not the guy we saw at the start of the year. However, it's safe to assume he'll be closer to what we've seen over 124 NHL games to date (.917 save percentage) than the guy he's been over the Leafs' last 20 (.877 save percentage).

Toronto's offense is lethal. With Rasmus Sandin's emergence, its defense is competent. I expect the Leafs to get more saves moving forward, and they'll no doubt look to add a piece or two at the deadline to better prepare for the playoffs. I'm not at all arguing Toronto should be the Cup favorite, but I do see value at this price.

Calgary Flames (+1300)

The Calgary Flames are probably the most complete team in Canada. They have one of the most dominant top lines in the NHL, a very responsible middle-six, and a stout defense core. Jacob Markstrom has also found his form and performed as one of the league's top goaltenders. The Flames needed more secondary scoring, and they look to have found that in Tyler Toffoli, who has four goals in six games since the trade. There aren't many (any?) glaring holes on this team, and they play in a weak division.

The injury-plagued Vegas Golden Knights are probably the only club with a realistic shot at preventing the Flames from making the final four, which means there's value at +1300.

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.

Daily Newsletter

Get the latest trending sports news daily in your inbox