NHL Monday player props: Home cooking
We have a fairly quiet five-game slate to dig through as we kick off the week. While there aren't an overwhelming amount of options to choose from Monday, there's still value on the board.
Let's dig into three of my favorite spots.
Patrick Kane over 3.5 shots (-125)
Patrick Kane has been a consistent target for us all season long, especially when he's playing on home ice. Kane averages 4.1 shots per game in Chicago and has registered at least four in 12 of his last 17 contests. He went over the number in 70% of those games and has gone over in 60% of his home contests for the season. Pretty good!
Kane now finds himself in a very advantageous matchup against the Buffalo Sabres. Their defense has tightened up a little bit of late, but they generally allow plenty of rubber. The Sabres are also in the latter half of a road back-to-back, which won't help their cause.
Oh, and Buffalo bleeds shots to right wingers. Only the Columbus Blue Jackets and Dallas Stars have allowed more per game since the beginning of February.
Anze Kopitar over 2.5 shots (-112)
The Los Angeles Kings captain has been almost automatic at home. Anze Kopitar has generated at least three shots in seven of his last 10 home dates, including last time out against these same Seattle Kraken.
His recent success in Los Angeles is nothing new. Kopitar has gone over this number in 24 of 35 home games this season. That's a 69% hit rate, which aligns perfectly with what we've seen over the last 10 games (70%).
The Kraken play a slow, low-event style and have proven to be quite good at suppressing shots versus centers. That didn't stop Kopitar last time out, and, at this price, I'm happy to take my chances once again.
Leon Draisaitl over 3.5 shots (+100)
Last but not least, we have Leon Draisaitl. He's firing on all cylinders in Edmonton right now, generating shots at a ridiculous rate.
Draisaitl has recorded at least four shots on goal in eight of his last 10 home games. But that's not just due to a high accuracy rate; Draisaitl is averaging a whopping 7.3 shot attempts per contest in that span.
I expect his home success to continue Monday against the Arizona Coyotes. They rank dead last in five-on-five shots allowed over the last 10 games. They're also putrid on the power play, where Draisaitl leads the Edmonton Oilers in shots during this stretch.
As if the play wasn't enticing enough already, the Coyotes also give up a ton of shots to centers. Only three teams have surrendered more shots per game to the position this season.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.