NHL Tuesday player props: 3 forwards worth backing

We have a juicy nine-game slate on the docket Tuesday night, which means there is no shortage of player props to dissect.

Let's dig into three of my favorites.

Jake Guentzel over 3.5 shots (+110)

Guentzel, unlike many offensive stars, is not impacted by whether he plays at home or on the road. His splits are almost identical. We're simply looking for matchups when backing Guentzel, and he has a sneaky good one Tuesday against the New York Rangers.

The Rangers have been one of the league's worst shot-suppression teams at five-on-five this season. They're bottom-10 in attempts against per 60, sandwiched between the New York Islanders and Detroit Red Wings - two teams you don't want to keep company with. The Rangers shouldn't be as bad down the stretch after adding some nice depth pieces at the deadline, but they're still a team we can target, especially with left-wingers.

In 20 games since the beginning of February, only the Winnipeg Jets have conceded more shots per game to left-wingers. Guentzel is one of the better volume generating left-wingers in the NHL so, at plus money, he is extremely appealing.

Roope Hintz over 2.5 shots (-134)

Hintz is generally a player we prefer to target at home, as his success rate is 10% higher in Dallas. Even so, he's still at 53% for the season on the road and more than capable of taking advantage of good matchups. He most certainly has one against the Anaheim Ducks.

The Ducks are bleeding shots to centers right now, giving up 12 per game to the position since Feb. 1, with only the San Jose Sharks, Nashville Predators, and Arizona Coyotes conceding more. Hintz has gone over the number (2.5) in 11 of his last 18 road appearances - 61%. He should be able to continue his success in Anaheim.

Kirill Kaprizov over 3.5 shots (-134)

Kaprizov has some of the most extreme splits you'll find in a star player. He has registered four shots or more in just 33% of his road games, a stark contrast from his 60% success rate on home soil.

He has been particularly effective in Minnesota of late, generating at least four shots in eight of his last 10 contests while attempting a whopping 7.1 shots per game.

Kaprizov is firing on all cylinders and is heading into one of the best matchups he could hope for. The Philadelphia Flyers have conceded 68 shot attempts per 60 minutes at five-on-five over the last 10 games, which ranks 31st in the NHL.

If that doesn't make Kaprizov enticing enough, perhaps this will: Only the Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens have allowed more shots per game to left-wingers than the Flyers this season.

So, we have a guy piling up shots going up against a team that can't prevent them, especially against his position. This line feels short.

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.