NHL Thursday player props: 3 wingers to target
We won two of our three shot prop plays Tuesday, making for a successful night. We'll look to pick up where we left off as we dig through the best values for Thursday's meaty nine-game slate.
Teuvo Teravainen over 2.5 shots (-125)
Teuvo Teravainen has extreme splits. He's gone over the number (2.5) just 42% of the time on the road, compared to a whopping 65% on home ice. This makes Teravainen a guy we frequently back when he's playing in Carolina, especially when he has a juicy matchup.
That's the case Thursday. Only four teams have conceded five-on-five shot attempts at a higher rate than the Montreal Canadiens over the last 10 games. They're giving up an insane amount of volume to left wingers, having allowed more shots per contest than all but the Winnipeg Jets and New York Rangers since the beginning of February.
Teravainen is expected to play the left side in this game, so he's as likely as anyone to take advantage of this juicy spot. He did so in both prior meetings with Montreal, piling up nine shots and 11 attempts while going over each time.
Kirill Kaprizov over 3.5 shots (-118)
Death, taxes, and Kirill Kaprizov on home ice. He's on another level right now, having registered at least four shots in 10 of his last 12 games played in Minnesota. Kaprizov has hit against teams like the Rangers, Boston Bruins, and Colorado Avalanche in that time, so it's not as if we're cherry-picking results in easy matchups.
The Pittsburgh Penguins are an above-average shot-suppression team, but they're not bulletproof. Look no further than Kaprizov's last game against the Penguins; he generated five shots and seven attempts despite Pittsburgh having the ability to control matchups in its own building.
Look for Kaprizov's home success to continue Thursday night.
Jonathan Huberdeau over 2.5 shots (-155)
I generally try to find more fruitful lines, but this is a spot where I think laying the juice is a good idea.
Forget the last 10 games; Huberdeau has been an absolute God in Florida for nearly the entire season. He was a little slow out of the gate, hitting in two of seven home games. Since? Huberdeau has registered three shots or more in 23 of 26 for an absurd 88% success rate. No, that's not a typo.
Now he draws a terrific matchup against a Chicago Blackhawks team that's bled shots this whole season. Eat the juice and back Huberdeau at home.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.