NHL Monday player props: 3 shooters to target
There are 11 games on Monday's NHL slate, which means there's an abnormally large amount of player props to comb through.
Let's examine a few that stand out.
Alex Pietrangelo over 2.5 shots (-115)
There's a lot to like about Pietrangelo right now. He leads the Vegas Golden Knights in shot attempts over their last 10 games and has played significantly more minutes than any other Vegas skater in that time.
Pietrangelo has logged just under 270 minutes of ice time through that 10-game stretch, with Nicolas Hague (220) the only other Golden Knights player above 205. That kind of extreme usage means Pietrangelo can have an off night in terms of efficiency and still get the job done.
Pietrangelo has a good chance of finding success again in Monday's favorable matchup. The Dallas Stars are above average at limiting shots from every position - except defense. Opposing blue-liners average well over nine shots per game against Dallas, slotting the Stars 24th in the league in that regard.
Look for Pietrangelo - equipped with as much ice time as he can handle - to take advantage.
Roman Josi under 3.5 shots (-120)
Josi is almost always a player to target for overs, but Monday's contest is an exception. In fact, it's time to go the other way and play the under.
This is all about the matchup. The Calgary Flames allow only 6.6 shots per game to opposing defensemen, comfortably slotting them first in the NHL in that regard.
They don't give up many shots to any position - they're a stout defensive squad - but this is legitimately the worst matchup an offensive blue-liner could ask for.
As good as Josi is, he's gone under his shot total in seven of his last 13 games, and he doesn't have a strong history against the Darryl Sutter-coached Flames: He's faced Calgary four times since Sutter took over behind the bench and hasn't registered four shots in any of those games.
In fact, Josi only has four shot attempts or fewer in three of his past four against Calgary, notching just four shots on goal over the last three.
Don't expect a big night from the Nashville Predators captain.
Tyler Toffoli over 2.5 shots (-120)
This is a great spot for Toffoli to make some noise. The Predators have bled shots of late, allowing more at five-on-five over the last 10 games than every team except the Anaheim Ducks.
The Predators have also struggled to stay out of the penalty box, which should mean plenty of extra opportunities for the Flames' leading shot generator on the man advantage.
If that's not enough to get excited about Toffoli, perhaps this will be: The Predators rank 30th in shot prevention against right-wingers this season. As the team's No. 1 right-winger at even strength and a priority target on the power play, Toffoli will have every opportunity to exploit a highly favorable matchup.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.