NHL awards odds update: Can the Hughes brothers pull off a sweep?
With the NHL's holiday break approaching, it feels like a natural time to look at how three awards markets - the Hart, Norris, and Calder - stand as we head into the new year.
The markets we'll focus on all feature a common name: Hughes.
The trio of brothers - Jack, Quinn, and Luke - are all in the running to claim hardware at the end of the season. The odds are heavily stacked against them, but could the Hughes brothers pull off an unprecedented sweep?
Let's dive in.
Hart Trophy odds
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Nikita Kucherov | +325 |
Connor McDavid | +325 |
David Pastrnak | +550 |
Jack Hughes | +600 |
Nathan MacKinnon | +1000 |
Auston Mattews | +1100 |
Artemi Panarin | +1200 |
Elias Pettersson | +2000 |
Quinn Hughes | +2500 |
Leon Draisaitl | +2500 |
Cale Makar | +3000 |
Odds via theScore Bet
Nikita Kucherov and Connor McDavid are co-favorites in the Hart Trophy market, with David Pastrnak and Jack Hughes hot on their tails.
Kucherov tops the NHL in points and is three short of the league lead in goals. He carried a Lightning team that struggled - relative to expectations - early in the season as it awaited Andrei Vasilevskiy's return. Kucherov's a deserving candidate but far from a sure thing at this point in the season.
As long as McDavid is healthy and the Oilers are winning games, the league's best player will always be in the Hart conversation.
As for Jack Hughes, he led the NHL in points before an upper-body injury caused him to miss multiple games. While his 37 points don't place him in the top 10 overall, he sits third in points per game behind Kucherov and McDavid.
For Jack to have any shot at winning this award, he needs to stay healthy for the rest of the season and the Devils, currently sitting outside a wild-card spot, have to make the playoffs. Jack's +600 odds suggest he has roughly a 14% chance of being honored as the league's MVP.
Norris Trophy odds
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Quinn Hughes | +115 |
Cale Makar | +175 |
Evan Bouchard | +1000 |
Miro Heiskanen | +2500 |
Rasmus Dahlin | +2500 |
Adam Fox | +3000 |
Charlie McAvoy | +3000 |
Victor Hedman | +3000 |
Quinn Hughes is the favorite to win top-defenseman honors. He leads all blueliners in goals (nine) and assists (30) while captaining the Canucks' hot start. Vancouver is battling with the Golden Knights for the Pacific Division lead.
Cale Makar entered the season as the +200 betting favorite to win his second Norris Trophy and is neck and neck with Hughes. Makar trails the Canucks defenseman by two points for the league lead.
The Norris appears to be a two-man race between Western Conference foes. However, Evan Bouchard has an outside chance to throw his name into the hat if he can continue to rack up points alongside McDavid and Leon Draisaitl on the Oilers' power play.
Either way, the battle for the Norris between two of the league's best young stars will be one to watch for the remainder of the season.
Calder Trophy odds
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Connor Bedard | -350 |
Luke Hughes | +1100 |
Logan Cooley | +1400 |
Brock Faber | +2200 |
Adam Fantilli | +3000 |
The Calder will be the toughest for a Hughes family member to claim as Connor Bedard is a -350 favorite - a 77.8% implied probability - to win the NHL's top rookie award.
Bedard has 26 points in 30 games for the Blackhawks, who sit last in the NHL with 19 points. The 2023 first overall pick is doing all he can to carry Chicago, but the team lacks talent in all areas. Bedard simply cannot do it on his own.
Luke Hughes is Bedard's closest competitor on the oddsboard at +1100. The Devils defenseman has 16 points in 29 games while playing alongside his brother Jack. Luke was +700 to win the Calder before the season, but Bedard's sensational play caused his odds to lengthen.
If you were to parlay each Hughes brother to win the Hart, Norris, and Calder, the odds would be roughly +17000, or an implied probability of under 1%. Sweeping these three awards is very unlikely for the Hughes family, but the odds are still greater than zero!