Pasta on the menu Thursday night in Boston
We have an intriguing seven-game slate ahead of us Thursday night. Let's waste no time getting to a few of my favorite player props on the board.
David Pastrnak: Over 4.5 shots
Pastrnak is a shooting machine in Boston. He's registered at least five shots in 63% of his home games this season and six of the past 10 overall. Of the four failures in that span, each contest was decided by three-plus goals.
Put another way, Pastrnak is generally getting the job done, so long as the game is close and he's incentivized to keep shooting - be it for an insurance marker or an attempt at a comeback.
The Canucks are one of the league's best teams, and they're giving every opponent a run for their money. They should be able to push the Bruins in this game and give head coach Jim Montgomery every reason to get Pastrnak on the ice as often as possible.
It's worth noting - while still stingy - the Canucks give up more shot volume on the road than at home.
Boston also likes to match top lines. With Pastrnak recently shifting to the second unit, he'll avoid some of those best-on-best matchups.
Odds: -125 (playable to -140)
Noah Dobson: Over 0.5 assists
Dobson is one of the league's best playmaking defensemen. He's piled up 46 assists through 50 games this season and has been particularly effective at home, where he's recorded at least one assist in 60% of his contests.
There's every reason to believe his home success will continue Thursday night against the Lightning.
The Bolts started Andrei Vasilevskiy on Wednesday, which means Jonas Johansson will get the nod in goal this time. Johansson owns a .894 save percentage this season and is a net negative in goals saved above expectation. His presence should allow the Islanders to get the most out of their chances, of which there will be plenty.
New York sits second in expected goal generation since Patrick Roy took over behind the bench. Five games is a small sample size, but it sure looks like Roy has the team moving in the right direction.
Mikhail Sergachev also suffered a scary-looking injury in his return to the lineup Wednesday, which takes a big bite out of the Lightning defense heading into a road back-to-back.
Win or lose, the Islanders are in a good spot to score their share of goals in this game. Given the number of minutes he plays and the chances he facilitates for teammates, Dobson should have no problem picking up an assist.
Odds: -130 (playable to -150)
Owen Tippett: Over 3.5 shots
Tippett is one of the most efficient shot generators in the league. He has averaged 25.85 shot attempts and 13.65 shots on goal per 60 minutes of play this season. Both stats rank third in the NHL, putting him in direct company with Auston Matthews, Brady Tkachuk, and Pastrnak.
Although Tippett has a difficult matchup against the Jets, there's plenty of reason to like him in this spot. Winnipeg ranks 15th in shots against per 60 over the last 10 games, a much lower mark than where it sits on the season. The Jets aren't playing their best defensive hockey right now.
Tippett is also skating alongside optimal linemates Sean Couturier and Cam Atkinson. His shooting rate is higher with Couturier than any other center on the Flyers' roster. Tippett also averages nearly 30 attempts per 60 minutes on the opposite side of Atkinson, more than four attempts above his season average.
Odds: -102 (playable to -125)
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.