Target Robertson's shot total vs. Penguins on Friday

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Thursday was a good night for our player props. We won two of three and fell just one Timo Meier shot shy of a sweep.

We'll aim for a perfect card with three more props for Friday's four-game slate.

Jason Robertson: Over 2.5 shots

Robertson has turned into a very matchup-dependent shooter. He doesn't shoot a lot unless he's facing a team that struggles defensively and/or plays with a lot of pace. The Penguins happen to meet both criteria.

Pittsburgh is bleeding shots, sitting 30th in five-on-five suppression over the last 10 games. It also plays extremely quick, high-event hockey. It ranks second in total events (attempts generated + allowed) per minute in that span.

The Penguins should create an optimal game environment for Robertson.

He's faced two other teams that rank bottom six in shot suppression over his last 10 games. He recorded four shots in all three contests, averaging six attempts per night.

As I noted the last time we successfully backed Robertson, the Stars are in a very tight race with the Avalanche and Jets for the top two seeds in the Central Division. They can't afford to drop points and will continue giving their top players full workloads so long as the game is remotely in question.

With around 18 minutes coming in a pace-up spot, Robertson should be able to get a few pucks on net.

Odds: -130 (playable to -150)

Boone Jenner: Over 2.5 shots

Jenner isn't a regular target, but there are a lot of reasons to like him against the Avalanche. He has a high shooting floor right now, having attempted at least four shots in 10 straight games. That may not sound like a lot, but Jenner lives around the net and hits the target at a much higher rate as a result.

In the 40 games in which Jenner has attempted four or more shots, he's gone over his total 27 times. That's a very strong 68% success rate.

The Avalanche play extremely fast and lead the NHL in total pace at five-on-five over their last 10 games. They also sit 30th in shots allowed to centers over that span. That bodes well for Jenner.

Odds: -130 (playable to -145)

Mikko Rantanen: Over 3.5 shots

Rantanen has shot the puck a lot more of late. It's no coincidence that his uptick aligns with the return of Valeri Nichushkin.

Rantanen averaged just 2.9 shots on 5.6 attempts without Nichushkin in the lineup.

In comparison, he has 3.7 shots on 7.2 attempts per game with Nichushkin in the lineup. He's also gone over in seven of the last 10 Nichushkin has played.

The volume should continue to be there in spades against the Blue Jackets. They give up a ton of shots on a nightly basis - especially to opposing wingers - and rank third in total pace over the past 10 games.

With the Avalanche sitting No. 1 in said category, this should be a free-flowing game with shots being sprayed from everywhere.

Odds: -118 (playable to -135)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.