PGA Championship odds: Scheffler the man to beat at Valhalla
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The season's second major is on deck, with the PGA Championship set to begin Thursday from Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky.
Valhalla will host its fourth PGA Championship and first since 2014, when Rory McIlroy won his most recent major title. It was also the stage for Tiger Woods' epic duel against Bob May in 2000, which produced one of Woods' most iconic moments of his career.
2000 – Tiger Woods chased Bob May’s junior records in Southern California, but the two had never met in competition. That changed at Valhalla Golf Club in what many call the greatest final-day duel in PGA Championship history. #PGA100
— PGA Championship (@PGAChampionship) July 22, 2018
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Let's look at the betting odds for a 2024 PGA Championship field that'll try to make more history with the Wanamaker Trophy on the line.
The favorites
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
| Rory McIlroy | +700 |
| Brooks Koepka | +1200 |
| Xander Schauffele | +1400 |
| Jon Rahm | +1800 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +1800 |
All odds via theScore Bet
Scottie Scheffler is the obvious favorite at +350 - an implied probability of 22.2%. If you've paid attention to any amount of golf this year, you'll know the incredible run Scheffler's on. He's won four of his past five starts - including the Masters and Players Championship - and his only non-victory was a second place.
Next is McIlroy at +700 (12.5% implied probability). The four-time major winner is coming off two consecutive wins (one was a team event) and will attempt to snap his major drought while in peak form.
Defending champion Brooks Koepka is +1200 and won his most recent start on the LIV Tour. He'll be vying for his sixth career major, which would enter him into the conversation as one of the top 10 golfers of all time.
When you include Xander Schauffele at +1400, the top four players on the oddsboard amass an implied win probability of 49.1%, meaning it's a coin flip between them and the rest of the field.
The challengers
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
| Cameron Smith | +2800 |
| Collin Morikawa | +2800 |
| Max Homa | +2800 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +3000 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +3000 |
| Patrick Cantlay | +3300 |
| Justin Thomas | +3500 |
| Viktor Hovland | +3500 |
| Wyndham Clark | +3500 |
| Cameron Young | +4000 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +4000 |
| Jason Day | +4000 |
| Will Zalatoris | +4000 |
| Dustin Johnson | +4500 |
Thanks to the short prices on Scheffler and Rory, the odds for these mid-range golfers are longer than normal. This next tier houses a bunch of great players who are hunting for their first major title - including Max Homa, Joaquin Niemann, Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland, and Cameron Young - and can be found as long as +4000.
Long shots
| Player | Golfer |
|---|---|
| Tyrrell Hatton | +5000 |
| Byeong Hun An | +6000 |
| Jordan Spieth | +6000 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +6000 |
| Sungjae Im | +6000 |
| Tony Finau | +6000 |
| Min Woo Lee | +7000 |
| Sahith Theegala | +7000 |
| Sam Burns | +7000 |
| Sepp Straka | +7000 |
| Shane Lowry | +7000 |
| Corey Conners | +8000 |
| Si Woo Kim | +8000 |
| Talor Gooch | +8000 |
Adding 16 LIV Tour players to the PGA Championship field undoubtedly strengthens the group competing in the year's second major and makes this week's field at Valhalla the strongest of 2024. You know you have a strong field when great players like Matt Fitzpatrick and Sam Burns - generally priced closer to +3000 during PGA TOUR events - are +6000 and longer.
Finally, oddsmakers don't like Woods' chances of contending at Valhalla. Alongside players such as Aaron Rai and Thomas Detry, Woods is priced at +15000 to claim his 16th major championship in only his second start of the year.