Who will emerge from the chaos of the women's Wimbledon draw?
Maybe we can hold off on scaling back to 16 seeds at Grand Slams, because it doesn't seem like what's missing from these tournaments is unpredictability and early-round drama. One week in, this year's Wimbledon women's draw features no remaining top-five seeds, one remaining top-10 seed, and just seven seeds total.
For all that, the remaining women's draw, wide-open though it may be, still features plenty of talent (a testament to the depth of women's tennis right now) and a handful of players who can realistically win the title.
So, who emerges from the chaos to capture the Venus Rosewater Dish? Here are the best bets to go the distance in London.
Serena Williams
For all the noise about the top seeds tumbling out, it's worth noting that the tournament favorite is still very much alive. Being seeded 25th (an upgrade on her unseeded entry into the French Open) figured to give Serena a more difficult path than usual, but her draw has cracked open to the point that she won't have to face a seeded opponent until the semifinals at the earliest. Instead of facing Madison Keys in the fourth round, she'll get 120th-ranked qualifier Evgeniya Rodina.
Serena is the only woman left in the draw who's won Wimbledon before (only one other remaining player has even made the final), and she's won it seven times. She has significantly less match play under her belt than the rest of the field and still hasn't quite rounded back into peak form, but her unparalleled experience, compete level, and grass-court prowess continue to make her the player to beat at the All England Club.
Angelique Kerber
If Serena's the favorite from here on out, Kerber should be considered a close second. She's been in fine form throughout the first week, and took her game to another level when she dismantled dark-horse contender Naomi Osaka in the third round with a masterclass in controlled aggression.
Kerber, who finished runner-up to Serena at this event in 2016, has become an excellent grass-court player in recent years. Her strong lower body makes her particularly good at getting down to dig out low-bouncing balls, and there may not be a player who's more difficult to push off the baseline.
She'll have a tricky fourth-round matchup against a similar player in Belinda Bencic, but considering who Kerber might've had to play in the latter stages of this tournament - Petra Kvitova, Garbine Muguruza, Simona Halep - things couldn't have lined up much better for her to return to the final.
Jelena Ostapenko
We've seen what can happen when Ostapenko gets rolling, and she's starting to get rolling. Last year's out-of-nowhere French Open champ has gotten better with each match at Wimbledon, cresting with a 6-0, 6-4 bludgeoning of an overmatched Vitalia Diatchenko in the third round.
Ostapenko's biggest title came on clay, but grass is the surface most friendly to her first-strike, go-for-broke power game. And her serve, long one of her game's biggest weaknesses, is starting to play like a strength.
There's just no way to predict which way things will go for Ostapenko, who's as feast-or-famine a player as exists on the women's tour. She has what looks like a relatively straightforward path to the semis, but she could very well be broken down by a similarly attack-minded player in Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the fourth round, or be unwound by counterpuncher Dominika Cibulkova or junkballing genius Hsieh Su-Wei in the quarters. As ever, the thrill will be in watching Ostapenko walk the tightrope between triumph and disaster.
Karolina Pliskova
Almost as wild as the fact that nine of the top 10 seeds crashed out in week one, is the fact that Pliskova is the lone top-10 player remaining. The 26-year-old has game, plainly, but she was coming into the tournament on the heels of an underwhelming grass-court season, had never even been past the second round at Wimbledon before, and generally looked primed for an upset, especially when she drew Victoria Azarenka in round two.
But she trounced Azarenka, and then engineered a tremendous comeback to overcome the ascendant Mihaela Buzarnescu and reach the Round of 16. Grass still isn't a natural surface for Pliskova - even though it amplifies her cracking serve and the heavy groundstrokes - because her height makes it difficult to handle the low bounce, and footwork is often a struggle for her. She's talented enough to overcome those impediments, and it'll help that she faces another unnatural grass-courter in Kiki Bertens in the fourth round. For all her inconsistency, she looks like the biggest potential roadblock to Serena in the bottom half. The two could meet in the semis.
Julia Goerges
The late-blooming German is set to play in the second week at Wimbledon for the first time in her 11 main-draw appearances (she'd lost in the first round in each of the previous five years), with a chance to reach her first-ever major quarterfinal.
Experience may not be on her side, but Goerges has quietly been among the most consistent tour-level players over the last 12 months. She's got a big serve, a sturdy and fluid ground game, and solid feel at the net. She has a workable fourth round against Donna Vekic, after which she'd face Pliskova or Bertens, after which she could get Serena. A tall order, to be sure, and one that would require a rare Slam breakthrough at age 29. But her countrywoman, Kerber, did basically just that two years ago. Why not Goerges?
Dominika Cibulkova
Cibulkova came into Wimbledon with something to prove, voicing her displeasure at getting bumped from the seeded cohort to accommodate Serena. She's put her money where her mouth is, looking as impressive as any woman in the tournament in taking out Alize Cornet, Jo Konta, and Elise Mertens in straight sets.
It's been a tough season for Cibulkova, particularly on grass courts. But she's a fearless player who's proven capable of raising her level to meet big-match stakes, and she's frankly just playing awesome tennis right now. There are no gimmes at this stage of a Slam, but she also has as favorable a remaining draw as anyone. Pome!
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