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NBA playoff race: Which teams are favored to make the postseason?

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As the league enters the All-Star break following Thursday's action, teams will have roughly 25 games remaining in the regular season. With the campaign winding down and entering a hiatus, let's dive into each conference's standings and playoff races.

East standings, playoff odds

Standings (record) Playoff odds East champion odds
1. Cavaliers (44-10) N/A -110
2. Celtics (39-16) N/A +280
3. Knicks (36-18) N/A +500
4. Pacers (30-23) N/A +3300
5. Bucks (29-24) N/A +1200
6. Pistons (29-26) -350 +25000
7. Magic (27-29) -750 +3300
8. Heat (25-27) -400 +10000
9. Hawks (26-29) +135 +30000
10. Bulls (22-33) N/A +50000
11. Sixers (20-34) +290 +3000
12. Nets (20-34) N/A +50000

*Teams with more than 35 losses not listed

The Cavaliers, Celtics, Knicks, Pacers, and Bucks are considered locks to make the playoffs, which explains why postseason odds aren't available.

That leaves seven teams fighting for three spots. The Pistons currently hold the coveted 6-seed. Teams placing between seventh and 10th will compete in the play-in tournament to determine the Nos. 7 and 8 seeds.

Detroit, which had the NBA's worst record last season, has already doubled last year's win total. Cade Cunningham has emerged as an All-Star, averaging a career-high 25.4 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 9.4 assists. His playmaking has dramatically improved, and the Pistons have added the right blend of veteran wings to surround him, including Tobias Harris and Malik Beasley. Even without backcourt partner Jaden Ivey - the Pistons' second-leading scorer who's out indefinitely with a leg injury - Detroit is staying afloat in the East playoff picture.

The Pistons' offense often falls apart without Cunningham on the floor. However, their recent acquisition of Dennis Schroder should help in non-Cunningham minutes and keep Detroit in a playoff spot.

The Heat, Hawks, and Magic are only separated by one game. Miami is finally past the Jimmy Butler saga and obtained Andrew Wiggins at the deadline, a quality starter who'll help bolster the Heat's top-10 defense. Tyler Herro is enjoying a career-best season and was rewarded with a first All-Star selection. Bam Adebayo has disappointed as his points, field-goal percentage, and rebounding numbers are down. However, if he, and Miami's young core, can finish the campaign strong, the team will be in a good spot when the play-in tournament begins.

The Hawks are the worst team among the three, leading to a 42% implied probability of making the playoffs. Although Trae Young is having an All-Star season and leads the NBA in assists, Jalen Johnson, Atlanta's second-best player, is out for the remainder of the campaign with a torn labrum. The Hawks were sellers at the deadline, shipping off De'Andre Hunter - their second-leading scorer - for Caris LeVert and Georges Niang. Before its recent stretch of four wins in six games, Atlanta lost eight straight and tumbled down the standings. It has the seventh-worst offensive rating over the last 15 contests.

Making matters worse for Atlanta, the Magic should move up the standings. Injuries have decimated Orlando this season, as Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner, and Jalen Suggs - the Magic's three leading scorers - have played six games together. Banchero and Wagner are back, but Suggs has missed the last nine contests with a quad injury. The Magic are 4-7 since Banchero and Wagner returned.

Orlando has the league's third-best defense but owns the second-worst offense. The offense should improve once the team's stars return to form after the All-Star break amid the NBA's fifth-easiest remaining schedule, per tankathon.com.

And then there are the Sixers, who oddsmakers aren't completely giving up on with a 25% implied probability of qualifying. Philadelphia was one of the preseason favorites to win the East, but injuries derailed its campaign. Joel Embiid has played in just 17 of the Sixers' 54 games. Even with Philly's Big Three of Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, and Paul George on the court together, the Sixers lost to the Cunningham-less Pistons, the Giannis Antetokounmpo-less Bucks, and the 17-38 Raptors in the last week.

The Sixers could still make the play-in now that the Bulls have entered a full-blown tank mode by trading Zach LaVine, but Philadelphia's ugly season is on life support. It might be better to pull the plug and rest Embiid for the rest of the year.

West standings, playoff odds

Standings (record) Playoff odds West champion odds
1. Thunder (44-9) N/A -110
2. Grizzlies (36-18) N/A +1100
3. Nuggets (36-19) N/A +575
4. Rockets (34-20) N/A +1600
5. Lakers (32-20) -3000 +700
6. Clippers (30-23) -280 +1700
7. Timberwolves (30-25) -400 +2200
8. Mavericks (29-26) +105 +1800
9. Kings (28-26) +200 +6600
10. Warriors (27-27) +100 +1800
11. Suns (26-28) +340 +2500
12. Spurs (23-29) +500 +7500

*Teams with more than 30 losses not listed

Twelve of the West's 15 teams have a legitimate chance of making the playoffs. Last year, the Rockets finished 11th at 42-42, the best record for an 11-seed in history, showcasing how deep the West is.

The Thunder, Nuggets, Grizzlies, Rockets, and Lakers are almost guaranteed a playoff spot barring injuries or an epic late-season collapse. The trade deadline had a massive impact on other bubble teams' chances.

Trading Luka Doncic certainly hurt the Mavericks' odds, but the situation worsened for the disparaged franchise when Anthony Davis re-injured his adductor in his debut, and he's now out for at least the next few weeks. Daniel Gafford will miss the next two weeks, and Dereck Lively won't return from an ankle injury for at least a couple more weeks. Without a center, the Mavs should fall in the standings. However, they could still earn a spot in the postseason if they're healthy by the play-in, which has led to a 48% implied probability.

The Clippers' second-best defense has brought Los Angeles to the 6-seed. Norman Powell's breakout season and James Harden's steady scoring carried the offensive load as they waited for Kawhi Leonard's return. Leonard hasn't looked like himself since returning from a knee injury in January. His scoring and efficiency are down, and his free-throw attempts have dried up as he struggles to explode to the rim.

Only 2.5 games separate seventh through 10th. The Kings damaged their chances when they traded De'Aaron Fox, even though they acquired LaVine. Sacramento is 5-6 in its last 11 games and has the league's fifth-worst defense during that span. The Timberwolves are on a two-game skid amid a disappointing season, but their talent should carry them to the playoffs.

Despite being the 10-seed, Butler's arrival has given the Warriors better odds of making the playoffs than teams ahead of them. Golden State is 2-1 since Butler debuted, and he'll clearly fit in the Warriors' system as a secondary creator alongside Steph Curry. If there was a time to bet on the Warriors, it's now.

The Suns, who have the toughest remaining schedule in the NBA, are a mess and can't defend a high school team. They've lost seven of their last nine games as everything falls apart after openly trying to trade Bradley Beal and Kevin Durant.

The Spurs are sleepers to make the playoffs. They're three games back of the 10-seed, so they have an uphill battle. However, the Spurs were winners at the trade deadline, trading for Fox without giving up members of their young core. San Antonio needs frontcourt depth, especially defensively, for when Victor Wembanyama is on the bench. However, as the Fox-Wembanyama pairing blossoms, so should the Spurs' standing in the West.

The play-in tournament has created a thrilling final few months of the season. Odds will continue to shift, but the All-Star break provides the perfect opportunity to bet on teams to emerge motivated.

Sam Oshtry is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X @soshtry for more betting coverage.

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