The upholding of the four-game suspension handed to New England Patriots QB Tom Brady has had little affect on the average draft positions (ADP) of his rule-following teammates. Fantasy owners may want to consider moving RB LeGarrette Blount up their ranks, as the Patriots will deploy a more run-heavy game under QB Jimmy Garoppolo.
RB Dion Lewis may suffer slightly in the early going.
Here are some other players from around the league who've been noticing more drastic adjustments to their respective ADP values. Use these trends to your advantage when seeking value in your drafts:
(All ADP values courtesy of FantasyFootballCalculator)
Risers
WR Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts
July 6 ADP: 7.05
July 20 ADP: 6.07
Moncrief hauled in 64 receptions on 105 targets last season, gaining 733 yards and scoring six touchdowns in his sophomore season. It was a large improvement from an underused rookie season, even with the majority of his passes being thrown by QB Matt Hasselbeck.
The Colts are reportedly moving to a three-wide receiver starting formation, with Moncrief a likely No. 2 option between T.Y. Hilton and Phillip Dorsett. At 6-foot-2, Moncrief is the tallest of the three by at least three inches, making him the most likely red-zone target. He's one of the top real-life WR2s.
WR Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions
July 6 ADP: 9.01
July 20 ADP: 8.09
While Golden Tate is the inherent WR1 in Detroit, following the retirement of Calvin Johnson, he has never scored double-digit touchdowns. His career high of seven was set in 2012, while a member of the Seattle Seahawks.
Free-agent addition Jones is four inches taller than Tate, measuring in at 6-foot-2. He scored 10 touchdowns in his second-to-last full season while a member of the Cincinnati Bengals. He proved to have overcome injuries in 2015, catching 65 of 103 targets for 816 yards and four scores.
Jones is going four full rounds after Tate, and represents significantly better value.
WR Sterling Shepard, New York Giants
July 6 ADP: 10.07
July 20 ADP: 9.04
Shepard is the presumptive No. 2 receiver in New York, lining up across the field from Odell Beckham Jr. The Giants passed the ball on over 60 percent of their offensive plays in 2015, and they didn't add any veteran running backs.
At 5-foot-10, 194 pounds, Shepard is expected to line up as a slot receiver this year, and he grades similarly to Beckham as a prospect. Beckham's overall dominance limits the potential opportunity for any other receiver in New York, but they'll likely be forced to pass often enough for the two to return adequate value at their respective ADPs.
Fallers
WR Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos
July 6 ADP: 5.12
July 20 ADP: 6.04
Sanders caught 76 of his 137 targets from the gruesome quarterback twosome of Peyton Manning and Brock Osweiler in 2015. He topped 1,000 yards for the second consecutive season, totaling 1,135 receiving yards and six touchdowns. He added 29 rushing yards on three attempts.
Sanders' outlook takes a dramatic hit with some combination of Mark Sanchez, Trevor Siemian and Paxton Lynch running the Broncos' 2016 offense. Sanders is not going late enough to represent true value, with No. 1 receiver Demaryius Thomas destined to see the bulk of the targets.
If targeting the Broncos offense, RB C.J. Anderson represents the best value with an ADP of 3.11.
WR Kevin White, Chicago Bears
July 6 ADP: 7.08
July 20 ADP: 7.11
Following a brief spike, White has dipped again as we inch closer to the season. Alshon Jeffery is the clear No. 1 in Chicago. He's been a favorite of QB Jay Cutler in the past, and with both WR Brandon Marshall and TE Martellus Bennett having departed in free agency in each of the past two seasons, Jeffery represents the safety and familiarity with the volatile Cutler.
Still, if healthy, White will see plenty of volume of his own. He's going late enough to help minimize risk, while having one of the highest upsides of receivers in this tier.
WR Tavon Austin, Los Angeles Rams
July 6 ADP: 10.06
July 20 ADP: 10.10
It's clear fantasy owners aren't buying into the prediction of Rams head coach Jeff Fisher, who claimed a 100-reception season on the horizon for Austin. Nonetheless, he represents great value as the top pass-catcher on a team where rookie QB Jared Goff will represent a significant upgrade from a quarterback crew led by Case Keenum in 2015.
Expect some split backfields in Los Angeles, with both Austin and sophomore Todd Gurley lined up behind Goff. After totaling 473 receiving yards and 434 rushing yards in 2015, Austin could again set new career highs in both categories. He should also reach double-digit touchdowns for the first time in his career.
While Gurley will lead the offense in every sense of the word, Austin represents excellent value in the latter rounds when other owners are drafting real-world WR3s.